Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to overnight lows of 23–24°C in Beijing on August 21 under late-summer conditions, with thundery showers and moderate humidity limiting radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows daily minima averaging near 21°C, but recent model runs and hourly observations indicate slightly elevated values due to lingering warmth and cloud cover. These align with market-implied odds favoring 24°C (63%) over 23°C (38.5%), reflecting trader assessment of steering patterns and urban heat retention. No major anomalies like strong cold fronts have emerged to shift probabilities toward lower thresholds. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local station data expected later today could refine the final minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日北京最低溫度？
8月21日北京最低溫度？
21°C 2%
22°C 2%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
18℃或以下
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
38%
24°C
62%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
21°C 2%
22°C 2%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
18℃或以下
$45 交易量
<1%
19°C
$127 交易量
1%
20°C
$97 交易量
1%
21°C
$92 交易量
2%
22°C
$87 交易量
2%
23°C
$445 交易量
38%
24°C
$168 交易量
62%
25°C
$150 交易量
<1%
26°C
$25 交易量
<1%
27°C
$95 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to overnight lows of 23–24°C in Beijing on August 21 under late-summer conditions, with thundery showers and moderate humidity limiting radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows daily minima averaging near 21°C, but recent model runs and hourly observations indicate slightly elevated values due to lingering warmth and cloud cover. These align with market-implied odds favoring 24°C (63%) over 23°C (38.5%), reflecting trader assessment of steering patterns and urban heat retention. No major anomalies like strong cold fronts have emerged to shift probabilities toward lower thresholds. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local station data expected later today could refine the final minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,427結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to overnight lows of 23–24°C in Beijing on August 21 under late-summer conditions, with thundery showers and moderate humidity limiting radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows daily minima averaging near 21°C, but recent model runs and hourly observations indicate slightly elevated values due to lingering warmth and cloud cover. These align with market-implied odds favoring 24°C (63%) over 23°C (38.5%), reflecting trader assessment of steering patterns and urban heat retention. No major anomalies like strong cold fronts have emerged to shift probabilities toward lower thresholds. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local station data expected later today could refine the final minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,427結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETCurrent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to overnight lows of 23–24°C in Beijing on August 21 under late-summer conditions, with thundery showers and moderate humidity limiting radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows daily minima averaging near 21°C, but recent model runs and hourly observations indicate slightly elevated values due to lingering warmth and cloud cover. These align with market-implied odds favoring 24°C (63%) over 23°C (38.5%), reflecting trader assessment of steering patterns and urban heat retention. No major anomalies like strong cold fronts have emerged to shift probabilities toward lower thresholds. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local station data expected later today could refine the final minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions