Wellington’s late-winter maritime setting creates high day-to-day temperature variability driven by passing cold fronts, southerly winds, and occasional clear-sky radiational cooling. With the market showing near-even odds between 15 °C or higher (40 %) and 5 °C or below (39.5 %), forecasters note split model guidance: some runs keep mild northerlies in place while others bring a stronger southerly change by 23–24 August. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in front timing or wind strength can swing overnight minima by 4–6 °C. NIWA and MetService updates over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range and move the tightly bunched 6–11 °C outcomes that currently sit at 24–28 %.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8月24日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
15°C or higher 79%
5°C or below 78%
11°C 47%
12°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
5°C or below
78%
6°C
25%
7°C
25%
8°C
28%
9°C
29%
10°C
28%
11°C
47%
12°C
47%
13°C
8%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
79%
15°C or higher 79%
5°C or below 78%
11°C 47%
12°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
5°C or below
$5 交易量
78%
6°C
$0 交易量
25%
7°C
$0 交易量
25%
8°C
$0 交易量
28%
9°C
$0 交易量
29%
10°C
$0 交易量
28%
11°C
$5 交易量
47%
12°C
$5 交易量
47%
13°C
$5 交易量
8%
14°C
$5 交易量
2%
15°C or higher
$5 交易量
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s late-winter maritime setting creates high day-to-day temperature variability driven by passing cold fronts, southerly winds, and occasional clear-sky radiational cooling. With the market showing near-even odds between 15 °C or higher (40 %) and 5 °C or below (39.5 %), forecasters note split model guidance: some runs keep mild northerlies in place while others bring a stronger southerly change by 23–24 August. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in front timing or wind strength can swing overnight minima by 4–6 °C. NIWA and MetService updates over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range and move the tightly bunched 6–11 °C outcomes that currently sit at 24–28 %.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$30結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s late-winter maritime setting creates high day-to-day temperature variability driven by passing cold fronts, southerly winds, and occasional clear-sky radiational cooling. With the market showing near-even odds between 15 °C or higher (40 %) and 5 °C or below (39.5 %), forecasters note split model guidance: some runs keep mild northerlies in place while others bring a stronger southerly change by 23–24 August. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in front timing or wind strength can swing overnight minima by 4–6 °C. NIWA and MetService updates over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range and move the tightly bunched 6–11 °C outcomes that currently sit at 24–28 %.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETWellington’s late-winter maritime setting creates high day-to-day temperature variability driven by passing cold fronts, southerly winds, and occasional clear-sky radiational cooling. With the market showing near-even odds between 15 °C or higher (40 %) and 5 °C or below (39.5 %), forecasters note split model guidance: some runs keep mild northerlies in place while others bring a stronger southerly change by 23–24 August. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in front timing or wind strength can swing overnight minima by 4–6 °C. NIWA and MetService updates over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range and move the tightly bunched 6–11 °C outcomes that currently sit at 24–28 %.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions