Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, with light northwesterlies limiting stronger inversions. This aligns with climatological August averages of 7–9°C lows while reflecting recent model runs showing warmer-than-average conditions from a milder Tasman Sea air mass. Trader consensus around 11°C reflects these converging forecasts, though slight model spread in wind strength and cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 9–10°C if clearer skies develop. Updated guidance from NIWA and the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日惠靈頓的最低溫度?
11°C 43%
12°C 19%
10°C 16%
9°C 15%
5°C或以下
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
10%
9°C
15%
10°C
16%
11°C
43%
12°C
19%
13°C
7%
14°C
1%
15°C或以上
1%
11°C 43%
12°C 19%
10°C 16%
9°C 15%
5°C或以下
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
10%
9°C
15%
10°C
16%
11°C
43%
12°C
19%
13°C
7%
14°C
1%
15°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, with light northwesterlies limiting stronger inversions. This aligns with climatological August averages of 7–9°C lows while reflecting recent model runs showing warmer-than-average conditions from a milder Tasman Sea air mass. Trader consensus around 11°C reflects these converging forecasts, though slight model spread in wind strength and cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 9–10°C if clearer skies develop. Updated guidance from NIWA and the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions