Wellington's mild winter conditions on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northwesterly winds and above-average temperatures, underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a 12°C minimum. Official forecasts from agencies like MetService and observations at Wellington Airport show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with recent model runs projecting limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the day's observed range of roughly 12–14°C, reflecting a warmer-than-climatological pattern for late August. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected wind lull or clearer skies late in the evening allowed temperatures to dip below the threshold before official recording closes, though current data and short-term guidance make such a deviation unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8月22日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
12°C 100.0%
11°C 1.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
$4,905 交易量
$4,905 交易量
2026-08-22
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
11°C 1.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
$4,905 交易量
$4,905 交易量
2026-08-22
7°C or below
$302 交易量
No
8°C
$219 交易量
No
9°C
$659 交易量
No
10°C
$234 交易量
No
11°C
$378 交易量
No
12°C
$1,086 交易量
Yes
13°C
$231 交易量
No
14°C
$794 交易量
No
15°C
$676 交易量
No
16°C
$148 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$178 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's mild winter conditions on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northwesterly winds and above-average temperatures, underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a 12°C minimum. Official forecasts from agencies like MetService and observations at Wellington Airport show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with recent model runs projecting limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the day's observed range of roughly 12–14°C, reflecting a warmer-than-climatological pattern for late August. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected wind lull or clearer skies late in the evening allowed temperatures to dip below the threshold before official recording closes, though current data and short-term guidance make such a deviation unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$4,905結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's mild winter conditions on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northwesterly winds and above-average temperatures, underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a 12°C minimum. Official forecasts from agencies like MetService and observations at Wellington Airport show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with recent model runs projecting limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the day's observed range of roughly 12–14°C, reflecting a warmer-than-climatological pattern for late August. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected wind lull or clearer skies late in the evening allowed temperatures to dip below the threshold before official recording closes, though current data and short-term guidance make such a deviation unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,905結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Wellington's mild winter conditions on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northwesterly winds and above-average temperatures, underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a 12°C minimum. Official forecasts from agencies like MetService and observations at Wellington Airport show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with recent model runs projecting limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the day's observed range of roughly 12–14°C, reflecting a warmer-than-climatological pattern for late August. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected wind lull or clearer skies late in the evening allowed temperatures to dip below the threshold before official recording closes, though current data and short-term guidance make such a deviation unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions