Recent short-range model runs indicate a probable overnight minimum near 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. The near-even market odds between a 32°C-or-higher floor and a 22°C-or-lower outcome capture residual uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and light northeasterly flow that can either trap heat or allow modest drops. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–26°C, yet the current warm anomaly and urban heat-island effect in the Yangtze basin keep cooler thresholds viable only if stronger ventilation develops. Forecasters will update guidance with the next 00Z and 12Z cycles ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日武漢最低氣溫?
32°C或以上 93%
22°C或以下 90%
31°C 87%
30°C 51%
22°C或以下
90%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
45%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
87%
32°C或以上
93%
32°C或以上 93%
22°C或以下 90%
31°C 87%
30°C 51%
22°C或以下
90%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
45%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
87%
32°C或以上
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range model runs indicate a probable overnight minimum near 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. The near-even market odds between a 32°C-or-higher floor and a 22°C-or-lower outcome capture residual uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and light northeasterly flow that can either trap heat or allow modest drops. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–26°C, yet the current warm anomaly and urban heat-island effect in the Yangtze basin keep cooler thresholds viable only if stronger ventilation develops. Forecasters will update guidance with the next 00Z and 12Z cycles ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions