Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a nighttime minimum near 25–27°C for Chongqing on August 24, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Elevated dew points near 25°C and persistent cloud cover from the active monsoon pattern suppress temperature drops, while urban heat retention in the region adds further warmth. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model spread in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will clarify whether stronger overnight convection or clearer skies shift the minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日重慶氣溫最低？
8月24日重慶氣溫最低？
19°C or below 80%
29°C or higher 46%
27°C 45%
24°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
19°C or below
80%
20°C
7%
21°C
30%
22°C
5%
23°C
24%
24°C
44%
25°C
44%
26°C
27%
27°C
45%
28°C
42%
29°C or higher
46%
19°C or below 80%
29°C or higher 46%
27°C 45%
24°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
19°C or below
$5 交易量
80%
20°C
$5 交易量
7%
21°C
$5 交易量
30%
22°C
$5 交易量
5%
23°C
$0 交易量
24%
24°C
$0 交易量
44%
25°C
$0 交易量
44%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
45%
28°C
$0 交易量
42%
29°C or higher
$0 交易量
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a nighttime minimum near 25–27°C for Chongqing on August 24, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Elevated dew points near 25°C and persistent cloud cover from the active monsoon pattern suppress temperature drops, while urban heat retention in the region adds further warmth. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model spread in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will clarify whether stronger overnight convection or clearer skies shift the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a nighttime minimum near 25–27°C for Chongqing on August 24, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Elevated dew points near 25°C and persistent cloud cover from the active monsoon pattern suppress temperature drops, while urban heat retention in the region adds further warmth. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model spread in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will clarify whether stronger overnight convection or clearer skies shift the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a nighttime minimum near 25–27°C for Chongqing on August 24, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Elevated dew points near 25°C and persistent cloud cover from the active monsoon pattern suppress temperature drops, while urban heat retention in the region adds further warmth. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model spread in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will clarify whether stronger overnight convection or clearer skies shift the minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions