Latest forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and AEMET points to a peak of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 24 amid a late-summer cooling pattern, driving the market’s strong consensus on 28°C (50%) and 29°C (27%). Continental high-pressure influence is expected to yield mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, yet modest Atlantic moisture and boundary-layer mixing limit strong daytime heating relative to earlier August peaks near 32–34°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with historical late-August variability where daily highs average near 30–31°C but often dip with any increase in cloud cover or advection. Traders are weighting the next model runs and official AEMET bulletins ahead of the observation window, as small shifts in steering patterns or urban heat effects could adjust the recorded maximum by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月24日馬德裏氣溫最高？
28°C 50%
29°C 37%
27°C 16%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
50%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
4%
28°C 50%
29°C 37%
27°C 16%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
5%
27°C
$0 交易量
16%
28°C
$39 交易量
50%
29°C
$10 交易量
29%
30°C
$10 交易量
8%
31°C
$5 交易量
5%
32°C
$10 交易量
4%
33°C或以上
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and AEMET points to a peak of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 24 amid a late-summer cooling pattern, driving the market’s strong consensus on 28°C (50%) and 29°C (27%). Continental high-pressure influence is expected to yield mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, yet modest Atlantic moisture and boundary-layer mixing limit strong daytime heating relative to earlier August peaks near 32–34°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with historical late-August variability where daily highs average near 30–31°C but often dip with any increase in cloud cover or advection. Traders are weighting the next model runs and official AEMET bulletins ahead of the observation window, as small shifts in steering patterns or urban heat effects could adjust the recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
交易量
$79結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and AEMET points to a peak of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 24 amid a late-summer cooling pattern, driving the market’s strong consensus on 28°C (50%) and 29°C (27%). Continental high-pressure influence is expected to yield mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, yet modest Atlantic moisture and boundary-layer mixing limit strong daytime heating relative to earlier August peaks near 32–34°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with historical late-August variability where daily highs average near 30–31°C but often dip with any increase in cloud cover or advection. Traders are weighting the next model runs and official AEMET bulletins ahead of the observation window, as small shifts in steering patterns or urban heat effects could adjust the recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$79結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETLatest forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and AEMET points to a peak of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 24 amid a late-summer cooling pattern, driving the market’s strong consensus on 28°C (50%) and 29°C (27%). Continental high-pressure influence is expected to yield mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, yet modest Atlantic moisture and boundary-layer mixing limit strong daytime heating relative to earlier August peaks near 32–34°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with historical late-August variability where daily highs average near 30–31°C but often dip with any increase in cloud cover or advection. Traders are weighting the next model runs and official AEMET bulletins ahead of the observation window, as small shifts in steering patterns or urban heat effects could adjust the recorded maximum by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions