**Uncertainty in the minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on August 24 stems from competing model signals on the strength and timing of a post-frontal high-pressure ridge.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a low near 6 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, favoring radiational cooling but not extreme cold advection. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this, with some solutions allowing a brief surge of drier, cooler air from the south that could push readings to 3–4 °C or lower, while others keep marine influence dominant and limit the drop to 8 °C or above. Recent July cold outbreaks and an emerging El Niño pattern add historical context for occasional sharper minima, yet current surface observations and 48-hour model trends show moderation. Market-implied odds near 46 % across the coldest and mildest buckets therefore capture genuine forecast dispersion rather than consensus on any single threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
8月24日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
-2°C或以下 47%
8°C或更高 47%
6°C 46%
4°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
-2°C或以下
47%
-1°C
26%
0°C
26%
1°C
26%
2°C
26%
3°C
27%
4°C
46%
5°C
26%
6°C
46%
7°C
26%
8°C或更高
47%
-2°C或以下 47%
8°C或更高 47%
6°C 46%
4°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
-2°C或以下
$0 交易量
47%
-1°C
$0 交易量
26%
0°C
$0 交易量
26%
1°C
$0 交易量
26%
2°C
$0 交易量
26%
3°C
$0 交易量
27%
4°C
$0 交易量
46%
5°C
$0 交易量
26%
6°C
$0 交易量
46%
7°C
$0 交易量
26%
8°C或更高
$0 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Uncertainty in the minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on August 24 stems from competing model signals on the strength and timing of a post-frontal high-pressure ridge.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a low near 6 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, favoring radiational cooling but not extreme cold advection. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this, with some solutions allowing a brief surge of drier, cooler air from the south that could push readings to 3–4 °C or lower, while others keep marine influence dominant and limit the drop to 8 °C or above. Recent July cold outbreaks and an emerging El Niño pattern add historical context for occasional sharper minima, yet current surface observations and 48-hour model trends show moderation. Market-implied odds near 46 % across the coldest and mildest buckets therefore capture genuine forecast dispersion rather than consensus on any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Uncertainty in the minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on August 24 stems from competing model signals on the strength and timing of a post-frontal high-pressure ridge.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a low near 6 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, favoring radiational cooling but not extreme cold advection. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this, with some solutions allowing a brief surge of drier, cooler air from the south that could push readings to 3–4 °C or lower, while others keep marine influence dominant and limit the drop to 8 °C or above. Recent July cold outbreaks and an emerging El Niño pattern add historical context for occasional sharper minima, yet current surface observations and 48-hour model trends show moderation. Market-implied odds near 46 % across the coldest and mildest buckets therefore capture genuine forecast dispersion rather than consensus on any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET**Uncertainty in the minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on August 24 stems from competing model signals on the strength and timing of a post-frontal high-pressure ridge.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a low near 6 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, favoring radiational cooling but not extreme cold advection. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this, with some solutions allowing a brief surge of drier, cooler air from the south that could push readings to 3–4 °C or lower, while others keep marine influence dominant and limit the drop to 8 °C or above. Recent July cold outbreaks and an emerging El Niño pattern add historical context for occasional sharper minima, yet current surface observations and 48-hour model trends show moderation. Market-implied odds near 46 % across the coldest and mildest buckets therefore capture genuine forecast dispersion rather than consensus on any single threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions