Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 12–13°C on August 24 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages around 13°C but introduces uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and model spread on minimum temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probability for 9°C or below likely stems from overweighting downside risks in wet, overcast conditions, while probabilities clustered around 12–14°C capture the baseline forecast range; upcoming NHC or local meteorological updates on steering flows could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城8月24日的最低溫度？
墨西哥城8月24日的最低溫度？
9°C或以下 91%
19°C或以上 48%
10°C 47%
17°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
91%
10°C
47%
11°C
24%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
32%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
47%
18°C
47%
19°C或以上
48%
9°C或以下 91%
19°C或以上 48%
10°C 47%
17°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
$5 交易量
91%
10°C
$5 交易量
47%
11°C
$0 交易量
24%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
32%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$5 交易量
47%
18°C
$5 交易量
47%
19°C或以上
$5 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 12–13°C on August 24 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages around 13°C but introduces uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and model spread on minimum temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probability for 9°C or below likely stems from overweighting downside risks in wet, overcast conditions, while probabilities clustered around 12–14°C capture the baseline forecast range; upcoming NHC or local meteorological updates on steering flows could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 12–13°C on August 24 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages around 13°C but introduces uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and model spread on minimum temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probability for 9°C or below likely stems from overweighting downside risks in wet, overcast conditions, while probabilities clustered around 12–14°C capture the baseline forecast range; upcoming NHC or local meteorological updates on steering flows could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 12–13°C on August 24 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages around 13°C but introduces uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and model spread on minimum temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probability for 9°C or below likely stems from overweighting downside risks in wet, overcast conditions, while probabilities clustered around 12–14°C capture the baseline forecast range; upcoming NHC or local meteorological updates on steering flows could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions