Recent forecasts for Mexico City indicate a maximum temperature near 20–22°C on August 24, driven by the ongoing rainy season with expected afternoon thundery showers and persistent cloud cover that suppress daytime heating. At the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, typical August highs hover around 23–24°C, but current model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service shows slightly cooler conditions due to increased moisture and limited solar radiation. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering around 21°C, while probabilities above 24°C remain minimal given the lack of clear, stable high-pressure patterns. Updated guidance on shower timing and intensity from official monitoring will likely refine the final recorded maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日墨西哥城的最高溫度?
21°C 35%
20°C 21%
17°C 15%
22°C 14%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
15%
18°C
8%
19°C
13%
20°C
21%
21°C
35%
22°C
14%
23°C
9%
24°C
7%
25°C或以上
1%
21°C 35%
20°C 21%
17°C 15%
22°C 14%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
15%
18°C
8%
19°C
13%
20°C
21%
21°C
35%
22°C
14%
23°C
9%
24°C
7%
25°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Mexico City indicate a maximum temperature near 20–22°C on August 24, driven by the ongoing rainy season with expected afternoon thundery showers and persistent cloud cover that suppress daytime heating. At the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, typical August highs hover around 23–24°C, but current model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service shows slightly cooler conditions due to increased moisture and limited solar radiation. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering around 21°C, while probabilities above 24°C remain minimal given the lack of clear, stable high-pressure patterns. Updated guidance on shower timing and intensity from official monitoring will likely refine the final recorded maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions