Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate San Francisco overnight lows near 56–58°F for August 24, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F and recent August observations dominated by a stable marine layer. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-50°F and 68°F+ extremes because coastal minimum temperatures hinge on marine layer depth (typically 1,000–1,500 feet), onshore flow strength, and stratus coverage that modulates radiative cooling overnight. Slight deepening or compression of the layer, or variations in wind speed above the inversion, can shift readings several degrees either way within the historical envelope of 51–65°F. Updated model runs and morning observations before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日舊金山的最低溫度？
8月24日舊金山的最低溫度？
68°F或以上 97%
49°F或以下 96%
50-51°F 51%
64-65°F 51%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
49°F或以下
96%
50-51°F
51%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
27%
62-63華氏度
26%
64-65°F
51%
66-67°F
1%
68°F或以上
97%
68°F或以上 97%
49°F或以下 96%
50-51°F 51%
64-65°F 51%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
49°F或以下
$5 交易量
96%
50-51°F
$5 交易量
51%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
26%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
26%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
26%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
27%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
27%
62-63華氏度
$0 交易量
26%
64-65°F
$5 交易量
51%
66-67°F
$5 交易量
1%
68°F或以上
$5 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate San Francisco overnight lows near 56–58°F for August 24, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F and recent August observations dominated by a stable marine layer. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-50°F and 68°F+ extremes because coastal minimum temperatures hinge on marine layer depth (typically 1,000–1,500 feet), onshore flow strength, and stratus coverage that modulates radiative cooling overnight. Slight deepening or compression of the layer, or variations in wind speed above the inversion, can shift readings several degrees either way within the historical envelope of 51–65°F. Updated model runs and morning observations before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate San Francisco overnight lows near 56–58°F for August 24, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F and recent August observations dominated by a stable marine layer. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-50°F and 68°F+ extremes because coastal minimum temperatures hinge on marine layer depth (typically 1,000–1,500 feet), onshore flow strength, and stratus coverage that modulates radiative cooling overnight. Slight deepening or compression of the layer, or variations in wind speed above the inversion, can shift readings several degrees either way within the historical envelope of 51–65°F. Updated model runs and morning observations before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETCurrent forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate San Francisco overnight lows near 56–58°F for August 24, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F and recent August observations dominated by a stable marine layer. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-50°F and 68°F+ extremes because coastal minimum temperatures hinge on marine layer depth (typically 1,000–1,500 feet), onshore flow strength, and stratus coverage that modulates radiative cooling overnight. Slight deepening or compression of the layer, or variations in wind speed above the inversion, can shift readings several degrees either way within the historical envelope of 51–65°F. Updated model runs and morning observations before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions