Persistent heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and southwesterly flow, keeps overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to a minimum near 83–86°F on August 24. Limited cloud cover and dry conditions allow some radiational cooling after sunset, yet the warm air mass and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s limit how far temperatures can fall. Historical August averages near 76°F contrast with this year’s heatwave, creating trader uncertainty reflected in nearly even probabilities between mid-80s readings and a cooler outcome below 80°F. Updated model guidance and wind shifts ahead of the overnight period remain the key variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日達拉斯的最低溫度?
98°F或以上 93%
96-97°F 84%
86-87°F 48%
華氏79度或以下 47%
華氏79度或以下
47%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
84%
98°F或以上
93%
98°F或以上 93%
96-97°F 84%
86-87°F 48%
華氏79度或以下 47%
華氏79度或以下
47%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
84%
98°F或以上
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and southwesterly flow, keeps overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to a minimum near 83–86°F on August 24. Limited cloud cover and dry conditions allow some radiational cooling after sunset, yet the warm air mass and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s limit how far temperatures can fall. Historical August averages near 76°F contrast with this year’s heatwave, creating trader uncertainty reflected in nearly even probabilities between mid-80s readings and a cooler outcome below 80°F. Updated model guidance and wind shifts ahead of the overnight period remain the key variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions