**Persistent late-August heat across North Texas, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and southerly flow, positions 106–107°F as the market favorite for Dallas’s August 24 high.** National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 106–107°F (with some guidance edging to 108°F), consistent with the ongoing heat wave that has produced multiple 105–106°F days earlier in the week. High pressure promotes strong subsidence and clear conditions that maximize daytime heating, while dew points in the mid-70s add to heat indices without significantly suppressing maximum temperatures. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the weekend, with only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts likely to alter the outcome. The 104–105°F and 108–109°F brackets capture the realistic forecast spread, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range because climatological August extremes above 110°F or below 104°F remain uncommon under the current synoptic pattern. Updated NWS and model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日達拉斯的最高溫度?
106-107°F 46%
104-105°F 22%
108-109°F 20%
110-111°F 12%
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
22%
106-107°F
46%
108-109°F
20%
110-111°F
12%
112-113°F
5%
114-115°F
5%
116-117°F
5%
118°F or higher
2%
106-107°F 46%
104-105°F 22%
108-109°F 20%
110-111°F 12%
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
22%
106-107°F
46%
108-109°F
20%
110-111°F
12%
112-113°F
5%
114-115°F
5%
116-117°F
5%
118°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Persistent late-August heat across North Texas, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and southerly flow, positions 106–107°F as the market favorite for Dallas’s August 24 high.** National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 106–107°F (with some guidance edging to 108°F), consistent with the ongoing heat wave that has produced multiple 105–106°F days earlier in the week. High pressure promotes strong subsidence and clear conditions that maximize daytime heating, while dew points in the mid-70s add to heat indices without significantly suppressing maximum temperatures. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the weekend, with only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts likely to alter the outcome. The 104–105°F and 108–109°F brackets capture the realistic forecast spread, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range because climatological August extremes above 110°F or below 104°F remain uncommon under the current synoptic pattern. Updated NWS and model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions