Skip to main content
icon for 舊金山8月24日的最高溫度？

舊金山8月24日的最高溫度？

icon for 舊金山8月24日的最高溫度？

舊金山8月24日的最高溫度？

8月 22

8月 23

8月 24

8月 22

8月 23

8月 24

70-71°F 35%

68-69°F 22%

72-73°F 16%

66-67°F 13%

Polymarket
最新

70-71°F 35%

68-69°F 22%

72-73°F 16%

66-67°F 13%

Polymarket
最新

華氏63度或以下

$10 交易量

7%

64-65°F

$0 交易量

8%

66-67°F

$0 交易量

13%

68-69°F

$0 交易量

22%

70-71°F

$0 交易量

35%

72-73°F

$0 交易量

16%

74-75°F

$0 交易量

9%

76-77°F

$0 交易量

6%

78-79°F

$0 交易量

3%

80-81°F

$10 交易量

4%

華氏82度或以上

$10 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature in San Francisco on August 24 most likely falling between 65°F and 72°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore southwest winds that limit daytime warming along the immediate coast. This setup keeps highs near or slightly below the 1991–2020 average of 69.6°F, with recent August 2026 observations showing daily maxima clustered in the mid-60s amid compressed stratus and moderate west winds of 10–20 mph. Microclimate differences between downtown stations and SFO introduce modest uncertainty in the exact peak, while the low probability of exceeding 78°F reflects the strong climatological barrier posed by Pacific cooling and the absence of offshore flow or ridging strong enough to push values into the upper 70s. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final reading before market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30
結束日期
2026-08-24
市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature in San Francisco on August 24 most likely falling between 65°F and 72°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore southwest winds that limit daytime warming along the immediate coast. This setup keeps highs near or slightly below the 1991–2020 average of 69.6°F, with recent August 2026 observations showing daily maxima clustered in the mid-60s amid compressed stratus and moderate west winds of 10–20 mph. Microclimate differences between downtown stations and SFO introduce modest uncertainty in the exact peak, while the low probability of exceeding 78°F reflects the strong climatological barrier posed by Pacific cooling and the absence of offshore flow or ridging strong enough to push values into the upper 70s. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final reading before market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30
結束日期
2026-08-24
市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

相關

icon for 舊金山在8月23日的最高氣溫會介於72-73華氏度之間嗎？

舊金山在8月23日的最高氣溫會介於72-73華氏度之間嗎？

41%
是
icon for 舊金山在8月24日的最低氣溫會是49°F或以下嗎？

舊金山在8月24日的最低氣溫會是49°F或以下嗎？

50%
是
icon for 8月23日舊金山的最低氣溫會在58-59°F之間嗎？

8月23日舊金山的最低氣溫會在58-59°F之間嗎？

50%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"舊金山8月24日的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "70-71°F" at 35%, followed by "68-69°F" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"舊金山8月24日的最高溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "舊金山8月24日的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "舊金山8月24日的最高溫度？" is "70-71°F" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "68-69°F" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "舊金山8月24日的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.