Latest National Weather Service model guidance points to a modest marine layer influence keeping Los Angeles highs near 82–86°F on August 24, 2026, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those buckets. Coastal stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are expected to moderate temperatures compared with the recent heat wave, while any weakening of the onshore gradient could allow slight warming into the upper 80s. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 84°F, yet daily variability from the marine layer creates a narrow uncertainty range that explains why traders assign comparable probabilities across the 78–87°F outcomes and minimal weight to extremes above 88°F. Updated model runs and morning soundings tomorrow will refine the precise maximum before official observations close the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月24日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯8月24日的最高溫度？
82-83華氏度 39%
84-85°F 32%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
華氏75度或以下
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
12%
82-83華氏度
39%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
3%
華氏94度或更高
2%
82-83華氏度 39%
84-85°F 32%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
華氏75度或以下
$0 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$5 交易量
7%
78-79°F
$5 交易量
9%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
12%
82-83華氏度
$745 交易量
39%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
32%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
16%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
3%
92-93°F
$5 交易量
3%
華氏94度或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service model guidance points to a modest marine layer influence keeping Los Angeles highs near 82–86°F on August 24, 2026, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those buckets. Coastal stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are expected to moderate temperatures compared with the recent heat wave, while any weakening of the onshore gradient could allow slight warming into the upper 80s. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 84°F, yet daily variability from the marine layer creates a narrow uncertainty range that explains why traders assign comparable probabilities across the 78–87°F outcomes and minimal weight to extremes above 88°F. Updated model runs and morning soundings tomorrow will refine the precise maximum before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$765結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service model guidance points to a modest marine layer influence keeping Los Angeles highs near 82–86°F on August 24, 2026, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those buckets. Coastal stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are expected to moderate temperatures compared with the recent heat wave, while any weakening of the onshore gradient could allow slight warming into the upper 80s. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 84°F, yet daily variability from the marine layer creates a narrow uncertainty range that explains why traders assign comparable probabilities across the 78–87°F outcomes and minimal weight to extremes above 88°F. Updated model runs and morning soundings tomorrow will refine the precise maximum before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$765結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETLatest National Weather Service model guidance points to a modest marine layer influence keeping Los Angeles highs near 82–86°F on August 24, 2026, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those buckets. Coastal stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are expected to moderate temperatures compared with the recent heat wave, while any weakening of the onshore gradient could allow slight warming into the upper 80s. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 84°F, yet daily variability from the marine layer creates a narrow uncertainty range that explains why traders assign comparable probabilities across the 78–87°F outcomes and minimal weight to extremes above 88°F. Updated model runs and morning soundings tomorrow will refine the precise maximum before official observations close the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions