The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 70–71°F low at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on August 23, 2026, aligns with official National Weather Service observations showing a minimum of 71°F around 4:53 a.m. under clear skies and light winds. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific kept boundary-layer temperatures elevated overnight despite the broader regional heat wave, consistent with climatological norms for coastal Los Angeles in late August where average lows hover near 65–70°F. Model guidance had converged on this range ahead of the date, with limited diurnal cooling due to high dew points. Resolution could shift only if subsequent quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific criteria alter the reported minimum by a degree, an infrequent occurrence once initial observations are finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日洛杉磯的最低溫度？
8月23日洛杉磯的最低溫度？
70-71°F 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$2,266 交易量
$2,266 交易量
2026-08-23
63°F或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
華氏82度或更高
否
70-71°F 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$2,266 交易量
$2,266 交易量
2026-08-23
63°F或以下
$125 交易量
否
64-65°F
$125 交易量
否
66-67°F
$85 交易量
否
68-69°F
$142 交易量
否
70-71°F
$957 交易量
是
72-73°F
$20 交易量
否
74-75°F
$110 交易量
否
76-77°F
$250 交易量
否
78-79°F
$170 交易量
否
80-81°F
$147 交易量
否
華氏82度或更高
$135 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 70–71°F low at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on August 23, 2026, aligns with official National Weather Service observations showing a minimum of 71°F around 4:53 a.m. under clear skies and light winds. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific kept boundary-layer temperatures elevated overnight despite the broader regional heat wave, consistent with climatological norms for coastal Los Angeles in late August where average lows hover near 65–70°F. Model guidance had converged on this range ahead of the date, with limited diurnal cooling due to high dew points. Resolution could shift only if subsequent quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific criteria alter the reported minimum by a degree, an infrequent occurrence once initial observations are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,266結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 70–71°F low at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on August 23, 2026, aligns with official National Weather Service observations showing a minimum of 71°F around 4:53 a.m. under clear skies and light winds. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific kept boundary-layer temperatures elevated overnight despite the broader regional heat wave, consistent with climatological norms for coastal Los Angeles in late August where average lows hover near 65–70°F. Model guidance had converged on this range ahead of the date, with limited diurnal cooling due to high dew points. Resolution could shift only if subsequent quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific criteria alter the reported minimum by a degree, an infrequent occurrence once initial observations are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,266結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 70–71°F low at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on August 23, 2026, aligns with official National Weather Service observations showing a minimum of 71°F around 4:53 a.m. under clear skies and light winds. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific kept boundary-layer temperatures elevated overnight despite the broader regional heat wave, consistent with climatological norms for coastal Los Angeles in late August where average lows hover near 65–70°F. Model guidance had converged on this range ahead of the date, with limited diurnal cooling due to high dew points. Resolution could shift only if subsequent quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific criteria alter the reported minimum by a degree, an infrequent occurrence once initial observations are finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions