**Current forecast models for Mexico City on August 23 point to a maximum temperature near 22–23°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland location produces consistently moderate highs even in late summer, with August climatology showing average daily maxima of 23–24°C and a narrow range rarely exceeding 26°C or falling below 21°C. Ongoing rainy-season patterns, including afternoon cloud build-up and potential showers, further cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating. Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and extended-range guidance shows no strong warming or cooling signals, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical central tendency while assigning low odds to outliers above 25°C or below 20°C. Traders appear to be pricing the typical late-August atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of extreme deviations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
8月23日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
22°C 38%
23°C 26%
21°C 15%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
15%
22°C
38%
23°C
26%
24°C
14%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C或以上
2%
22°C 38%
23°C 26%
21°C 15%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
18°C或以下
$111 交易量
1%
19°C
$5 交易量
3%
20°C
$33 交易量
8%
21°C
$1 交易量
15%
22°C
$23 交易量
38%
23°C
$18 交易量
26%
24°C
$39 交易量
14%
25°C
$29 交易量
5%
26°C
$44 交易量
4%
27°C
$54 交易量
5%
28°C或以上
$100 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models for Mexico City on August 23 point to a maximum temperature near 22–23°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland location produces consistently moderate highs even in late summer, with August climatology showing average daily maxima of 23–24°C and a narrow range rarely exceeding 26°C or falling below 21°C. Ongoing rainy-season patterns, including afternoon cloud build-up and potential showers, further cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating. Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and extended-range guidance shows no strong warming or cooling signals, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical central tendency while assigning low odds to outliers above 25°C or below 20°C. Traders appear to be pricing the typical late-August atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of extreme deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
交易量
$457結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models for Mexico City on August 23 point to a maximum temperature near 22–23°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland location produces consistently moderate highs even in late summer, with August climatology showing average daily maxima of 23–24°C and a narrow range rarely exceeding 26°C or falling below 21°C. Ongoing rainy-season patterns, including afternoon cloud build-up and potential showers, further cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating. Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and extended-range guidance shows no strong warming or cooling signals, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical central tendency while assigning low odds to outliers above 25°C or below 20°C. Traders appear to be pricing the typical late-August atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of extreme deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$457結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET**Current forecast models for Mexico City on August 23 point to a maximum temperature near 22–23°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland location produces consistently moderate highs even in late summer, with August climatology showing average daily maxima of 23–24°C and a narrow range rarely exceeding 26°C or falling below 21°C. Ongoing rainy-season patterns, including afternoon cloud build-up and potential showers, further cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating. Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and extended-range guidance shows no strong warming or cooling signals, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical central tendency while assigning low odds to outliers above 25°C or below 20°C. Traders appear to be pricing the typical late-August atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of extreme deviations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions