**Current forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 25, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 13–15 °C under stable high pressure, northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, and partly to mostly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk.** Models show limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and modest advection of mild maritime air, keeping afternoon peaks in a narrow range. Recent runs from sources such as the Met Office, Tutiempo, and PredictWind place the high at 13–14 °C, while some ensemble members allow brief clearing that could push readings to 15 °C. Historical August averages near 16–17 °C provide context, but the current pattern is cooler and more stable than typical late-winter conditions. Trader positioning—15 °C at 42.5 % and 14 °C at 36.5 %—reflects this tight spread and the inherent uncertainty between model consensus and small variations in cloud timing or wind strength that can alter the observed maximum by 1 °C. Newer forecast updates or real-time observations on the day will likely narrow the distribution further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
15°C 43%
14°C 37%
16°C 13%
13°C 8%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
8%
14°C
37%
15°C
43%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 43%
14°C 37%
16°C 13%
13°C 8%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
8%
14°C
37%
15°C
43%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 25, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 13–15 °C under stable high pressure, northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, and partly to mostly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk.** Models show limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and modest advection of mild maritime air, keeping afternoon peaks in a narrow range. Recent runs from sources such as the Met Office, Tutiempo, and PredictWind place the high at 13–14 °C, while some ensemble members allow brief clearing that could push readings to 15 °C. Historical August averages near 16–17 °C provide context, but the current pattern is cooler and more stable than typical late-winter conditions. Trader positioning—15 °C at 42.5 % and 14 °C at 36.5 %—reflects this tight spread and the inherent uncertainty between model consensus and small variations in cloud timing or wind strength that can alter the observed maximum by 1 °C. Newer forecast updates or real-time observations on the day will likely narrow the distribution further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions