Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 26 show highs clustering in the mid-30s Celsius amid a persistent heatwave, with official yellow warnings issued for temperatures exceeding 35°C. Model runs and agency outlooks differ modestly on peak values due to variable factors including scattered thunderstorm potential, easterly wind patterns, humidity levels around 55-65%, and partial cloud cover that could suppress or allow afternoon maxima. These elements create the tight clustering around 36-38°C in trader-implied probabilities, as even small shifts in convective activity or insolation timing can alter the daily high by 1-2°C. Official Chinese meteorological data and international models will converge closer to resolution, highlighting typical late-summer subtropical variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日武漢氣溫最高？
8月26日武漢氣溫最高？
37°C 34%
36°C 27%
38°C 21%
35°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
16%
36°C
27%
37°C
34%
38°C
21%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
8%
37°C 34%
36°C 27%
38°C 21%
35°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
30°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
31°C
$0 交易量
<1%
32°C
$0 交易量
2%
33°C
$27 交易量
2%
34°C
$0 交易量
7%
35°C
$0 交易量
16%
36°C
$0 交易量
27%
37°C
$11 交易量
34%
38°C
$38 交易量
21%
39°C
$0 交易量
5%
40°C or higher
$35 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 26 show highs clustering in the mid-30s Celsius amid a persistent heatwave, with official yellow warnings issued for temperatures exceeding 35°C. Model runs and agency outlooks differ modestly on peak values due to variable factors including scattered thunderstorm potential, easterly wind patterns, humidity levels around 55-65%, and partial cloud cover that could suppress or allow afternoon maxima. These elements create the tight clustering around 36-38°C in trader-implied probabilities, as even small shifts in convective activity or insolation timing can alter the daily high by 1-2°C. Official Chinese meteorological data and international models will converge closer to resolution, highlighting typical late-summer subtropical variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$111結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 26 show highs clustering in the mid-30s Celsius amid a persistent heatwave, with official yellow warnings issued for temperatures exceeding 35°C. Model runs and agency outlooks differ modestly on peak values due to variable factors including scattered thunderstorm potential, easterly wind patterns, humidity levels around 55-65%, and partial cloud cover that could suppress or allow afternoon maxima. These elements create the tight clustering around 36-38°C in trader-implied probabilities, as even small shifts in convective activity or insolation timing can alter the daily high by 1-2°C. Official Chinese meteorological data and international models will converge closer to resolution, highlighting typical late-summer subtropical variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$111結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Wuhan on August 26 show highs clustering in the mid-30s Celsius amid a persistent heatwave, with official yellow warnings issued for temperatures exceeding 35°C. Model runs and agency outlooks differ modestly on peak values due to variable factors including scattered thunderstorm potential, easterly wind patterns, humidity levels around 55-65%, and partial cloud cover that could suppress or allow afternoon maxima. These elements create the tight clustering around 36-38°C in trader-implied probabilities, as even small shifts in convective activity or insolation timing can alter the daily high by 1-2°C. Official Chinese meteorological data and international models will converge closer to resolution, highlighting typical late-summer subtropical variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions