Short-term ensemble forecasts from European weather models show a tight spread in maximum temperatures for Paris on August 25, with most runs clustering between 25–28 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge and modest warm-air advection from the southwest. Diurnal heating and variable cloud cover create the key uncertainty separating the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes, while boundary-layer moisture and local wind shifts could push readings slightly lower. Météo-France guidance and ECMWF ensembles remain the primary inputs traders monitor, with the next model cycles and overnight observations likely to resolve the narrow gap before the market closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日巴黎最高溫度？
8月25日巴黎最高溫度？
26°C 26%
27°C 26%
25°C 14%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
8%
25°C
14%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
13%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 26%
27°C 26%
25°C 14%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
22°C or below
$982 交易量
1%
23°C
$551 交易量
5%
24°C
$601 交易量
8%
25°C
$567 交易量
14%
26°C
$868 交易量
26%
27°C
$718 交易量
26%
28°C
$631 交易量
13%
29°C
$422 交易量
7%
30°C
$166 交易量
1%
31°C
$55 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$27 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from European weather models show a tight spread in maximum temperatures for Paris on August 25, with most runs clustering between 25–28 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge and modest warm-air advection from the southwest. Diurnal heating and variable cloud cover create the key uncertainty separating the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes, while boundary-layer moisture and local wind shifts could push readings slightly lower. Météo-France guidance and ECMWF ensembles remain the primary inputs traders monitor, with the next model cycles and overnight observations likely to resolve the narrow gap before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,587結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from European weather models show a tight spread in maximum temperatures for Paris on August 25, with most runs clustering between 25–28 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge and modest warm-air advection from the southwest. Diurnal heating and variable cloud cover create the key uncertainty separating the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes, while boundary-layer moisture and local wind shifts could push readings slightly lower. Météo-France guidance and ECMWF ensembles remain the primary inputs traders monitor, with the next model cycles and overnight observations likely to resolve the narrow gap before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,587結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETShort-term ensemble forecasts from European weather models show a tight spread in maximum temperatures for Paris on August 25, with most runs clustering between 25–28 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge and modest warm-air advection from the southwest. Diurnal heating and variable cloud cover create the key uncertainty separating the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes, while boundary-layer moisture and local wind shifts could push readings slightly lower. Météo-France guidance and ECMWF ensembles remain the primary inputs traders monitor, with the next model cycles and overnight observations likely to resolve the narrow gap before the market closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions