Recent short-range model runs from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s peak temperature on 25 August near 22–24 °C, with 23 °C and 22 °C emerging as the narrow market leaders because ensemble members cluster tightly around these values amid moderate easterly flow and increasing cloud cover. Persistent high pressure is giving way to a more unsettled pattern, introducing uncertainty in daytime radiative heating and the timing of any scattered showers that could suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Easterly winds advecting slightly cooler maritime air, combined with variable low-level humidity, further differentiate outcomes near the 22–23 °C threshold versus slightly warmer scenarios if clearer skies allow greater insolation. Updated model cycles and Met Office guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月25日倫敦的最高溫度？
23°C 30%
22°C 29%
24°C 18%
21°C 14%
最新
$12,481 交易量
最新
$12,481 交易量
2026-08-25
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
14%
22°C
29%
23°C
30%
24°C
18%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 30%
22°C 29%
24°C 18%
21°C 14%
最新
$12,481 交易量
最新
$12,481 交易量
2026-08-25
17°C or below
$135 交易量
<1%
18°C
$208 交易量
1%
19°C
$777 交易量
2%
20°C
$883 交易量
5%
21°C
$1,281 交易量
14%
22°C
$901 交易量
29%
23°C
$3,094 交易量
30%
24°C
$4,085 交易量
18%
25°C
$700 交易量
6%
26°C
$185 交易量
2%
27°C or higher
$231 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s peak temperature on 25 August near 22–24 °C, with 23 °C and 22 °C emerging as the narrow market leaders because ensemble members cluster tightly around these values amid moderate easterly flow and increasing cloud cover. Persistent high pressure is giving way to a more unsettled pattern, introducing uncertainty in daytime radiative heating and the timing of any scattered showers that could suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Easterly winds advecting slightly cooler maritime air, combined with variable low-level humidity, further differentiate outcomes near the 22–23 °C threshold versus slightly warmer scenarios if clearer skies allow greater insolation. Updated model cycles and Met Office guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$12,481結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s peak temperature on 25 August near 22–24 °C, with 23 °C and 22 °C emerging as the narrow market leaders because ensemble members cluster tightly around these values amid moderate easterly flow and increasing cloud cover. Persistent high pressure is giving way to a more unsettled pattern, introducing uncertainty in daytime radiative heating and the timing of any scattered showers that could suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Easterly winds advecting slightly cooler maritime air, combined with variable low-level humidity, further differentiate outcomes near the 22–23 °C threshold versus slightly warmer scenarios if clearer skies allow greater insolation. Updated model cycles and Met Office guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,481結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent short-range model runs from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s peak temperature on 25 August near 22–24 °C, with 23 °C and 22 °C emerging as the narrow market leaders because ensemble members cluster tightly around these values amid moderate easterly flow and increasing cloud cover. Persistent high pressure is giving way to a more unsettled pattern, introducing uncertainty in daytime radiative heating and the timing of any scattered showers that could suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Easterly winds advecting slightly cooler maritime air, combined with variable low-level humidity, further differentiate outcomes near the 22–23 °C threshold versus slightly warmer scenarios if clearer skies allow greater insolation. Updated model cycles and Met Office guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions