Traders have converged on an 84-85°F low for Dallas on August 25, driven by the National Weather Service Fort Worth climate summary recording a minimum of 82°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport under a strong heat dome. Persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture maintained elevated dew points, limiting radiative cooling overnight and holding temperatures well above the 1991-2020 seasonal normal of 75-76°F despite clear skies. This aligns with climatological patterns during late-summer heat waves, when daytime maxima above 100°F often translate to minima in the low-to-mid 80s. Official station data and model verification leave little room for downward revision, though localized microclimate differences at other Dallas-area sites or final quality-controlled adjustments could theoretically shift the exact bin by a degree or two.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日達拉斯的最低溫度?
84-85°F 99%
77°F或以下 16.7%
78-79華氏度 4.4%
82-83°F 1.6%
$4,122 交易量
$4,122 交易量
77°F或以下
17%
78-79華氏度
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
99%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
84-85°F 99%
77°F或以下 16.7%
78-79華氏度 4.4%
82-83°F 1.6%
$4,122 交易量
$4,122 交易量
77°F或以下
17%
78-79華氏度
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
99%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have converged on an 84-85°F low for Dallas on August 25, driven by the National Weather Service Fort Worth climate summary recording a minimum of 82°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport under a strong heat dome. Persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture maintained elevated dew points, limiting radiative cooling overnight and holding temperatures well above the 1991-2020 seasonal normal of 75-76°F despite clear skies. This aligns with climatological patterns during late-summer heat waves, when daytime maxima above 100°F often translate to minima in the low-to-mid 80s. Official station data and model verification leave little room for downward revision, though localized microclimate differences at other Dallas-area sites or final quality-controlled adjustments could theoretically shift the exact bin by a degree or two.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions