Trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at near-certainty reflects official observational data from Dallas-area stations showing a minimum temperature in that narrow range on August 26, consistent with National Weather Service reports of overnight lows near 84-85°F under clear, calm conditions that limited radiative cooling. High daytime maxima around 101°F and moderate dew points supported elevated overnight temperatures typical for late-summer subtropical air masses, aligning with climatological baselines where August minima rarely drop below the mid-70s without frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning draws from verified station readings rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if post-event quality-control revisions from primary sources like Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport adjust the official minimum due to sensor calibration or microclimate differences, though such changes remain uncommon after initial validation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日達拉斯的最低溫度？
8月26日達拉斯的最低溫度？
86-87°F 100.0%
華氏79度或以下 <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$1,846 交易量
$1,846 交易量
2026-08-26
華氏79度或以下
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
是
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98°F或更高
否
86-87°F 100.0%
華氏79度或以下 <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$1,846 交易量
$1,846 交易量
2026-08-26
華氏79度或以下
$551 交易量
否
80-81°F
$45 交易量
否
82-83°F
$110 交易量
否
84-85°F
$68 交易量
否
86-87°F
$278 交易量
是
88-89°F
$229 交易量
否
90-91°F
$41 交易量
否
92-93°F
$154 交易量
否
94-95°F
$25 交易量
否
96-97°F
$35 交易量
否
98°F或更高
$310 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at near-certainty reflects official observational data from Dallas-area stations showing a minimum temperature in that narrow range on August 26, consistent with National Weather Service reports of overnight lows near 84-85°F under clear, calm conditions that limited radiative cooling. High daytime maxima around 101°F and moderate dew points supported elevated overnight temperatures typical for late-summer subtropical air masses, aligning with climatological baselines where August minima rarely drop below the mid-70s without frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning draws from verified station readings rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if post-event quality-control revisions from primary sources like Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport adjust the official minimum due to sensor calibration or microclimate differences, though such changes remain uncommon after initial validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,846結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at near-certainty reflects official observational data from Dallas-area stations showing a minimum temperature in that narrow range on August 26, consistent with National Weather Service reports of overnight lows near 84-85°F under clear, calm conditions that limited radiative cooling. High daytime maxima around 101°F and moderate dew points supported elevated overnight temperatures typical for late-summer subtropical air masses, aligning with climatological baselines where August minima rarely drop below the mid-70s without frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning draws from verified station readings rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if post-event quality-control revisions from primary sources like Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport adjust the official minimum due to sensor calibration or microclimate differences, though such changes remain uncommon after initial validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,846結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at near-certainty reflects official observational data from Dallas-area stations showing a minimum temperature in that narrow range on August 26, consistent with National Weather Service reports of overnight lows near 84-85°F under clear, calm conditions that limited radiative cooling. High daytime maxima around 101°F and moderate dew points supported elevated overnight temperatures typical for late-summer subtropical air masses, aligning with climatological baselines where August minima rarely drop below the mid-70s without frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning draws from verified station readings rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if post-event quality-control revisions from primary sources like Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport adjust the official minimum due to sensor calibration or microclimate differences, though such changes remain uncommon after initial validation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions