Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Dallas confirmed a daily maximum of 100–101°F on August 25, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. This aligns with regional surface observations under clear skies and light winds that limited mixing and allowed afternoon heat to peak within the narrow range, consistent with late-August climatology for north Texas. Model guidance from the prior day had converged on similar values, with minimal spread across ensembles. Only an unprecedented station malfunction or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios traders view as negligible given redundant measurement networks and historical reliability of the record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日達拉斯的最高溫度?
100-101°F 100.0%
99°F or below <1%
102-103°F <1%
104-105°F <1%
$49,316 交易量
$49,316 交易量
99°F or below
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112-113°F
No
114-115°F
No
116-117°F
No
118°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
99°F or below <1%
102-103°F <1%
104-105°F <1%
$49,316 交易量
$49,316 交易量
99°F or below
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112-113°F
No
114-115°F
No
116-117°F
No
118°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Dallas confirmed a daily maximum of 100–101°F on August 25, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. This aligns with regional surface observations under clear skies and light winds that limited mixing and allowed afternoon heat to peak within the narrow range, consistent with late-August climatology for north Texas. Model guidance from the prior day had converged on similar values, with minimal spread across ensembles. Only an unprecedented station malfunction or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios traders view as negligible given redundant measurement networks and historical reliability of the record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions