**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models show Austin's overnight low for August 25 settling in the upper 70s, driven by a persistent warm, moist airmass with south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph and mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling.** Dew points near 70°F keep overnight humidity elevated, preventing temperatures from dropping toward the long-term August average of ~72°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with highs near 103-104°F reinforcing the elevated baseline. Traders have spread probability evenly across the 72-79°F bins because small variations in wind, cloud cover, or station-specific readings (e.g., Austin-Bergstrom) could shift the final minimum by a degree or two, while probabilities drop sharply outside that range given the strong consensus for continued heat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日奧斯汀的最低溫度？
8月25日奧斯汀的最低溫度？
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
69°F or below
$85 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$1,359 交易量
7%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
27%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
27%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
27%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
26%
80-81°F
$20 交易量
26%
82-83°F
$15 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$25 交易量
3%
86-87°F
$10 交易量
<1%
88°F or higher
$150 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models show Austin's overnight low for August 25 settling in the upper 70s, driven by a persistent warm, moist airmass with south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph and mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling.** Dew points near 70°F keep overnight humidity elevated, preventing temperatures from dropping toward the long-term August average of ~72°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with highs near 103-104°F reinforcing the elevated baseline. Traders have spread probability evenly across the 72-79°F bins because small variations in wind, cloud cover, or station-specific readings (e.g., Austin-Bergstrom) could shift the final minimum by a degree or two, while probabilities drop sharply outside that range given the strong consensus for continued heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,664結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models show Austin's overnight low for August 25 settling in the upper 70s, driven by a persistent warm, moist airmass with south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph and mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling.** Dew points near 70°F keep overnight humidity elevated, preventing temperatures from dropping toward the long-term August average of ~72°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with highs near 103-104°F reinforcing the elevated baseline. Traders have spread probability evenly across the 72-79°F bins because small variations in wind, cloud cover, or station-specific readings (e.g., Austin-Bergstrom) could shift the final minimum by a degree or two, while probabilities drop sharply outside that range given the strong consensus for continued heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,664結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models show Austin's overnight low for August 25 settling in the upper 70s, driven by a persistent warm, moist airmass with south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph and mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling.** Dew points near 70°F keep overnight humidity elevated, preventing temperatures from dropping toward the long-term August average of ~72°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with highs near 103-104°F reinforcing the elevated baseline. Traders have spread probability evenly across the 72-79°F bins because small variations in wind, cloud cover, or station-specific readings (e.g., Austin-Bergstrom) could shift the final minimum by a degree or two, while probabilities drop sharply outside that range given the strong consensus for continued heat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions