Persistent upper-level high pressure and a robust hot airmass over Central Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 25 centering on highs near 103–105°F amid south-southwest winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance, including recent model runs from NWS Austin/San Antonio, indicate this range as the most probable outcome given observed overperformance of temperatures in prior days and maximum 1000–500 mb thicknesses today. Historical August baselines and the absence of a steering pattern shift or moisture influx support the market’s concentration on 102–105°F bins, while lower probabilities for 106°F+ reflect limited upside potential before any subtle cooling emerges later in the week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月25日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
102-103°F 50%
104-105°F 22%
100-101°F 19%
98-99°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
華氏95度或以下
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
50%
104-105°F
22%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
華氏114度或更高
<1%
102-103°F 50%
104-105°F 22%
100-101°F 19%
98-99°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
華氏95度或以下
$5 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$47 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$158 交易量
6%
100-101°F
$240 交易量
19%
102-103°F
$463 交易量
50%
104-105°F
$115 交易量
22%
106-107°F
$145 交易量
6%
108-109°F
$66 交易量
3%
110-111°F
$5 交易量
<1%
112-113°F
$0 交易量
<1%
華氏114度或更高
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level high pressure and a robust hot airmass over Central Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 25 centering on highs near 103–105°F amid south-southwest winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance, including recent model runs from NWS Austin/San Antonio, indicate this range as the most probable outcome given observed overperformance of temperatures in prior days and maximum 1000–500 mb thicknesses today. Historical August baselines and the absence of a steering pattern shift or moisture influx support the market’s concentration on 102–105°F bins, while lower probabilities for 106°F+ reflect limited upside potential before any subtle cooling emerges later in the week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,254結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level high pressure and a robust hot airmass over Central Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 25 centering on highs near 103–105°F amid south-southwest winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance, including recent model runs from NWS Austin/San Antonio, indicate this range as the most probable outcome given observed overperformance of temperatures in prior days and maximum 1000–500 mb thicknesses today. Historical August baselines and the absence of a steering pattern shift or moisture influx support the market’s concentration on 102–105°F bins, while lower probabilities for 106°F+ reflect limited upside potential before any subtle cooling emerges later in the week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,254結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETPersistent upper-level high pressure and a robust hot airmass over Central Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 25 centering on highs near 103–105°F amid south-southwest winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance, including recent model runs from NWS Austin/San Antonio, indicate this range as the most probable outcome given observed overperformance of temperatures in prior days and maximum 1000–500 mb thicknesses today. Historical August baselines and the absence of a steering pattern shift or moisture influx support the market’s concentration on 102–105°F bins, while lower probabilities for 106°F+ reflect limited upside potential before any subtle cooling emerges later in the week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions