Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daily maximum of 17°C for Wellington on August 25 under mild northerly flow and partial clearing, aligning with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter climatology for the region shows average August highs near 12–14°C, but current conditions have trended slightly above seasonal norms following a shift to milder air masses after earlier polar outbreaks. The 17°C threshold sits within typical model consensus ranges, though resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the designated station. Uncertainties remain around localized wind effects or minor timing shifts in frontal passages that could alter the peak by 1°C, with updated model runs or real-time observations the next likely catalysts for any adjustment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月25日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
17°C 99%
18°C 1.4%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
最新
$46,311 交易量
最新
$46,311 交易量
2026-08-25
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
99%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99%
18°C 1.4%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
最新
$46,311 交易量
最新
$46,311 交易量
2026-08-25
10°C or below
$650 交易量
<1%
11°C
$628 交易量
<1%
12°C
$239 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,693 交易量
<1%
14°C
$4,007 交易量
<1%
15°C
$7,261 交易量
<1%
16°C
$14,765 交易量
<1%
17°C
$8,006 交易量
99%
18°C
$7,835 交易量
1%
19°C
$238 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,541 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daily maximum of 17°C for Wellington on August 25 under mild northerly flow and partial clearing, aligning with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter climatology for the region shows average August highs near 12–14°C, but current conditions have trended slightly above seasonal norms following a shift to milder air masses after earlier polar outbreaks. The 17°C threshold sits within typical model consensus ranges, though resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the designated station. Uncertainties remain around localized wind effects or minor timing shifts in frontal passages that could alter the peak by 1°C, with updated model runs or real-time observations the next likely catalysts for any adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$46,311結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daily maximum of 17°C for Wellington on August 25 under mild northerly flow and partial clearing, aligning with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter climatology for the region shows average August highs near 12–14°C, but current conditions have trended slightly above seasonal norms following a shift to milder air masses after earlier polar outbreaks. The 17°C threshold sits within typical model consensus ranges, though resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the designated station. Uncertainties remain around localized wind effects or minor timing shifts in frontal passages that could alter the peak by 1°C, with updated model runs or real-time observations the next likely catalysts for any adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46,311結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daily maximum of 17°C for Wellington on August 25 under mild northerly flow and partial clearing, aligning with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter climatology for the region shows average August highs near 12–14°C, but current conditions have trended slightly above seasonal norms following a shift to milder air masses after earlier polar outbreaks. The 17°C threshold sits within typical model consensus ranges, though resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the designated station. Uncertainties remain around localized wind effects or minor timing shifts in frontal passages that could alter the peak by 1°C, with updated model runs or real-time observations the next likely catalysts for any adjustment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions