**Market-implied odds place the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 26 at 24–25°C as the clear frontrunners (80.5% combined), consistent with official forecasts and the city’s high-elevation climate.** Mexico City sits at roughly 2,240 meters, where thinner air and typical August rainy-season convection keep daily maxima moderate; historical averages hover near 23–26°C with frequent afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Multiple models today project peaks of 22–26°C under partly cloudy skies and 40–60% rain chances, with observations showing morning readings around 12–14°C climbing toward the mid-20s. The tight clustering around 24–25°C reflects trader consensus on current steering patterns and moisture levels suppressing stronger warming, while lower probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-23°C outcomes align with the narrow historical range and model agreement. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance and real-time station data will drive any late shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
8月26日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
25°C 47%
24°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 6%
$7,392 交易量
$7,392 交易量
2026-08-26
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
31%
25°C
47%
26°C
15%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
<1%
25°C 47%
24°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 6%
$7,392 交易量
$7,392 交易量
2026-08-26
18°C或以下
$358 交易量
<1%
19°C
$138 交易量
<1%
20°C
$134 交易量
<1%
21°C
$123 交易量
<1%
22°C
$466 交易量
2%
23°C
$520 交易量
6%
24°C
$2,056 交易量
31%
25°C
$2,291 交易量
47%
26°C
$549 交易量
15%
27°C
$402 交易量
1%
28°C或以上
$355 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds place the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 26 at 24–25°C as the clear frontrunners (80.5% combined), consistent with official forecasts and the city’s high-elevation climate.** Mexico City sits at roughly 2,240 meters, where thinner air and typical August rainy-season convection keep daily maxima moderate; historical averages hover near 23–26°C with frequent afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Multiple models today project peaks of 22–26°C under partly cloudy skies and 40–60% rain chances, with observations showing morning readings around 12–14°C climbing toward the mid-20s. The tight clustering around 24–25°C reflects trader consensus on current steering patterns and moisture levels suppressing stronger warming, while lower probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-23°C outcomes align with the narrow historical range and model agreement. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance and real-time station data will drive any late shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$7,392結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds place the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 26 at 24–25°C as the clear frontrunners (80.5% combined), consistent with official forecasts and the city’s high-elevation climate.** Mexico City sits at roughly 2,240 meters, where thinner air and typical August rainy-season convection keep daily maxima moderate; historical averages hover near 23–26°C with frequent afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Multiple models today project peaks of 22–26°C under partly cloudy skies and 40–60% rain chances, with observations showing morning readings around 12–14°C climbing toward the mid-20s. The tight clustering around 24–25°C reflects trader consensus on current steering patterns and moisture levels suppressing stronger warming, while lower probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-23°C outcomes align with the narrow historical range and model agreement. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance and real-time station data will drive any late shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,392結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET**Market-implied odds place the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 26 at 24–25°C as the clear frontrunners (80.5% combined), consistent with official forecasts and the city’s high-elevation climate.** Mexico City sits at roughly 2,240 meters, where thinner air and typical August rainy-season convection keep daily maxima moderate; historical averages hover near 23–26°C with frequent afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Multiple models today project peaks of 22–26°C under partly cloudy skies and 40–60% rain chances, with observations showing morning readings around 12–14°C climbing toward the mid-20s. The tight clustering around 24–25°C reflects trader consensus on current steering patterns and moisture levels suppressing stronger warming, while lower probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-23°C outcomes align with the narrow historical range and model agreement. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance and real-time station data will drive any late shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions