Recent official forecasts from European models and Polish meteorological sources indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Warsaw on August 28, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020–1024 hPa. Afternoon solar insolation with dew points around 11–12°C and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface heating, while moderate winds limit further warming. These conditions align closely with the market’s tight 25°C (49%) versus 26°C (41.5%) split, reflecting small uncertainties in peak boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than any large-scale shift. Above the August climatological maximum of 21°C, the day remains within normal late-summer variability with no heatwave or frontal passage expected before evening cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日華沙的最高溫度?
26°C 50%
25°C 45%
27°C 5%
24°C 3%
$16,569 交易量
$16,569 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
45%
26°C
50%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
25°C 45%
27°C 5%
24°C 3%
$16,569 交易量
$16,569 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
45%
26°C
50%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from European models and Polish meteorological sources indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Warsaw on August 28, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020–1024 hPa. Afternoon solar insolation with dew points around 11–12°C and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface heating, while moderate winds limit further warming. These conditions align closely with the market’s tight 25°C (49%) versus 26°C (41.5%) split, reflecting small uncertainties in peak boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than any large-scale shift. Above the August climatological maximum of 21°C, the day remains within normal late-summer variability with no heatwave or frontal passage expected before evening cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions