**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Warsaw on August 28, 2026, reflecting model agreement on overnight radiational cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions.** A persistent anticyclone centered near Finland and Russia has maintained mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds across central Poland, with official IMGW guidance and ensemble forecasts (GFS, ECMWF) projecting minimums of 13–15 °C in the pre-dawn hours before daytime highs reach 26 °C. This aligns with climatological August norms near 15 °C and recent station observations showing dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover promoting efficient surface heat loss. The market-implied odds near 100 % for 13 °C capture the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts; only unexpected increases in low-level moisture, wind, or late cloud cover could push the official minimum outside the 12–14 °C window before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日華沙的最低溫度？
8月28日華沙的最低溫度？
13°C 100.0%
11°C 2%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$2,930 交易量
$2,930 交易量
2026-08-28
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
11°C 2%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$2,930 交易量
$2,930 交易量
2026-08-28
9°C or below
$89 交易量
No
10°C
$648 交易量
No
11°C
$70 交易量
No
12°C
$95 交易量
No
13°C
$866 交易量
Yes
14°C
$220 交易量
No
15°C
$200 交易量
No
16°C
$45 交易量
No
17°C
$469 交易量
No
18°C
$129 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$100 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Warsaw on August 28, 2026, reflecting model agreement on overnight radiational cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions.**
A persistent anticyclone centered near Finland and Russia has maintained mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds across central Poland, with official IMGW guidance and ensemble forecasts (GFS, ECMWF) projecting minimums of 13–15 °C in the pre-dawn hours before daytime highs reach 26 °C. This aligns with climatological August norms near 15 °C and recent station observations showing dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover promoting efficient surface heat loss. The market-implied odds near 100 % for 13 °C capture the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts; only unexpected increases in low-level moisture, wind, or late cloud cover could push the official minimum outside the 12–14 °C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,930結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Warsaw on August 28, 2026, reflecting model agreement on overnight radiational cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions.**
A persistent anticyclone centered near Finland and Russia has maintained mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds across central Poland, with official IMGW guidance and ensemble forecasts (GFS, ECMWF) projecting minimums of 13–15 °C in the pre-dawn hours before daytime highs reach 26 °C. This aligns with climatological August norms near 15 °C and recent station observations showing dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover promoting efficient surface heat loss. The market-implied odds near 100 % for 13 °C capture the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts; only unexpected increases in low-level moisture, wind, or late cloud cover could push the official minimum outside the 12–14 °C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,930結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Warsaw on August 28, 2026, reflecting model agreement on overnight radiational cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions.** A persistent anticyclone centered near Finland and Russia has maintained mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds across central Poland, with official IMGW guidance and ensemble forecasts (GFS, ECMWF) projecting minimums of 13–15 °C in the pre-dawn hours before daytime highs reach 26 °C. This aligns with climatological August norms near 15 °C and recent station observations showing dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover promoting efficient surface heat loss. The market-implied odds near 100 % for 13 °C capture the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts; only unexpected increases in low-level moisture, wind, or late cloud cover could push the official minimum outside the 12–14 °C window before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions