Recent model consensus from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and multiple international ensembles points to a maximum of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, driven by building high pressure near 1019 hPa, light westerly winds, and clearing skies following scattered rain on September 1. This setup limits warm advection and cloud cover, keeping daytime heating moderate and aligned with early-September climatology rather than late-summer peaks. Traders have concentrated probability on these values, reflecting agreement across updated runs that show minimal upside risk from stronger southerly flow or downside from persistent cloud. New model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日華沙的最高溫度？
9月2日華沙的最高溫度？
23°C 46%
22°C 35%
24°C 13%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
35%
23°C
46%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 46%
22°C 35%
24°C 13%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
17°C or below
$158 交易量
<1%
18°C
$16 交易量
<1%
19°C
$76 交易量
1%
20°C
$73 交易量
2%
21°C
$461 交易量
9%
22°C
$429 交易量
35%
23°C
$547 交易量
46%
24°C
$57 交易量
13%
25°C
$204 交易量
3%
26°C
$96 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$154 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and multiple international ensembles points to a maximum of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, driven by building high pressure near 1019 hPa, light westerly winds, and clearing skies following scattered rain on September 1. This setup limits warm advection and cloud cover, keeping daytime heating moderate and aligned with early-September climatology rather than late-summer peaks. Traders have concentrated probability on these values, reflecting agreement across updated runs that show minimal upside risk from stronger southerly flow or downside from persistent cloud. New model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,271結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and multiple international ensembles points to a maximum of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, driven by building high pressure near 1019 hPa, light westerly winds, and clearing skies following scattered rain on September 1. This setup limits warm advection and cloud cover, keeping daytime heating moderate and aligned with early-September climatology rather than late-summer peaks. Traders have concentrated probability on these values, reflecting agreement across updated runs that show minimal upside risk from stronger southerly flow or downside from persistent cloud. New model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,271結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and multiple international ensembles points to a maximum of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, driven by building high pressure near 1019 hPa, light westerly winds, and clearing skies following scattered rain on September 1. This setup limits warm advection and cloud cover, keeping daytime heating moderate and aligned with early-September climatology rather than late-summer peaks. Traders have concentrated probability on these values, reflecting agreement across updated runs that show minimal upside risk from stronger southerly flow or downside from persistent cloud. New model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions