**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 2 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering around 12–15°C (with 13°C and 14°C each near 49% implied probability) because official forecasts and numerical weather models converge on a narrow overnight low near 14–15°C under stable high-pressure conditions.** Westerly flow at 3–6 m/s, rising surface pressure to 1018–1020 hPa, and partly cloudy skies (cloud cover 20–60% overnight) limit strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warm advection. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming near 14°C in the pre-dawn hours before rebounding with daytime mixing, consistent with early-September climatology where minima typically range 10–16°C. Small differences in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, or model resolution explain the near-even odds between 12°C, 13°C, 14°C, and 15°C; lower outcomes below 11°C carry minimal probability absent an unexpected clear, calm spell or cold-air intrusion. As the night progresses, updated observations and short-range model runs will narrow the distribution further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日華沙的最低溫度？
9月2日華沙的最低溫度？
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
12°C 48%
15°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
9°C or below
1%
10°C
6%
11°C
3%
12°C
48%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
48%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
12°C 48%
15°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
9°C or below
$12 交易量
1%
10°C
$101 交易量
6%
11°C
$97 交易量
3%
12°C
$0 交易量
48%
13°C
$0 交易量
49%
14°C
$0 交易量
49%
15°C
$0 交易量
48%
16°C
$50 交易量
<1%
17°C
$55 交易量
<1%
18°C
$20 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 2 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering around 12–15°C (with 13°C and 14°C each near 49% implied probability) because official forecasts and numerical weather models converge on a narrow overnight low near 14–15°C under stable high-pressure conditions.**
Westerly flow at 3–6 m/s, rising surface pressure to 1018–1020 hPa, and partly cloudy skies (cloud cover 20–60% overnight) limit strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warm advection. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming near 14°C in the pre-dawn hours before rebounding with daytime mixing, consistent with early-September climatology where minima typically range 10–16°C. Small differences in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, or model resolution explain the near-even odds between 12°C, 13°C, 14°C, and 15°C; lower outcomes below 11°C carry minimal probability absent an unexpected clear, calm spell or cold-air intrusion. As the night progresses, updated observations and short-range model runs will narrow the distribution further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$375結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 2 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering around 12–15°C (with 13°C and 14°C each near 49% implied probability) because official forecasts and numerical weather models converge on a narrow overnight low near 14–15°C under stable high-pressure conditions.**
Westerly flow at 3–6 m/s, rising surface pressure to 1018–1020 hPa, and partly cloudy skies (cloud cover 20–60% overnight) limit strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warm advection. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming near 14°C in the pre-dawn hours before rebounding with daytime mixing, consistent with early-September climatology where minima typically range 10–16°C. Small differences in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, or model resolution explain the near-even odds between 12°C, 13°C, 14°C, and 15°C; lower outcomes below 11°C carry minimal probability absent an unexpected clear, calm spell or cold-air intrusion. As the night progresses, updated observations and short-range model runs will narrow the distribution further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$375結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 2 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering around 12–15°C (with 13°C and 14°C each near 49% implied probability) because official forecasts and numerical weather models converge on a narrow overnight low near 14–15°C under stable high-pressure conditions.** Westerly flow at 3–6 m/s, rising surface pressure to 1018–1020 hPa, and partly cloudy skies (cloud cover 20–60% overnight) limit strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warm advection. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming near 14°C in the pre-dawn hours before rebounding with daytime mixing, consistent with early-September climatology where minima typically range 10–16°C. Small differences in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, or model resolution explain the near-even odds between 12°C, 13°C, 14°C, and 15°C; lower outcomes below 11°C carry minimal probability absent an unexpected clear, calm spell or cold-air intrusion. As the night progresses, updated observations and short-range model runs will narrow the distribution further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions