Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high of 23–24 °C for Warsaw on September 3 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where maximum temperatures typically range 20–23 °C, and reflect a stable high-pressure influence without strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Updated runs through September 1 show minimal day-to-day variability in the guidance, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 22–24 °C band as the most probable outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 25 °C or below 21 °C. New model cycles and observational updates in the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日華沙的最高溫度？
9月3日華沙的最高溫度？
23°C 39%
22°C 30%
24°C 25%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
18°C or below
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
10%
22°C
30%
23°C
39%
24°C
25%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
22°C 30%
24°C 25%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
18°C or below
$5 交易量
4%
19°C
$5 交易量
3%
20°C
$20 交易量
7%
21°C
$0 交易量
10%
22°C
$0 交易量
30%
23°C
$5 交易量
39%
24°C
$5 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$5 交易量
2%
27°C
$111 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$225 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high of 23–24 °C for Warsaw on September 3 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where maximum temperatures typically range 20–23 °C, and reflect a stable high-pressure influence without strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Updated runs through September 1 show minimal day-to-day variability in the guidance, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 22–24 °C band as the most probable outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 25 °C or below 21 °C. New model cycles and observational updates in the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$382結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high of 23–24 °C for Warsaw on September 3 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where maximum temperatures typically range 20–23 °C, and reflect a stable high-pressure influence without strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Updated runs through September 1 show minimal day-to-day variability in the guidance, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 22–24 °C band as the most probable outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 25 °C or below 21 °C. New model cycles and observational updates in the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$382結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high of 23–24 °C for Warsaw on September 3 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where maximum temperatures typically range 20–23 °C, and reflect a stable high-pressure influence without strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Updated runs through September 1 show minimal day-to-day variability in the guidance, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 22–24 °C band as the most probable outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 25 °C or below 21 °C. New model cycles and observational updates in the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions