Current forecast models from sources including MetService and international guidance project a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 2, driven by brisk northwesterly winds that typically advect milder air across the region during early spring. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover near 14–15°C amid variable cloud cover and low precipitation chances. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some local guidance edging toward 16°C under clearer conditions, while cooler outcomes remain possible if winds shift or cloud thickens. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 16°C market share, incorporates these near-term dynamics and the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月2日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
16°C 61%
17°C 22%
15°C 15%
18°C 3%
最新
$10,324 交易量
最新
$10,324 交易量
2026-09-02
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
15%
16°C
61%
17°C
22%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
17°C 22%
15°C 15%
18°C 3%
最新
$10,324 交易量
最新
$10,324 交易量
2026-09-02
10°C or below
$315 交易量
<1%
11°C
$375 交易量
1%
12°C
$407 交易量
<1%
13°C
$524 交易量
1%
14°C
$466 交易量
2%
15°C
$4,603 交易量
15%
16°C
$901 交易量
61%
17°C
$1,510 交易量
22%
18°C
$552 交易量
3%
19°C
$449 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$222 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including MetService and international guidance project a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 2, driven by brisk northwesterly winds that typically advect milder air across the region during early spring. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover near 14–15°C amid variable cloud cover and low precipitation chances. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some local guidance edging toward 16°C under clearer conditions, while cooler outcomes remain possible if winds shift or cloud thickens. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 16°C market share, incorporates these near-term dynamics and the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,324結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including MetService and international guidance project a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 2, driven by brisk northwesterly winds that typically advect milder air across the region during early spring. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover near 14–15°C amid variable cloud cover and low precipitation chances. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some local guidance edging toward 16°C under clearer conditions, while cooler outcomes remain possible if winds shift or cloud thickens. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 16°C market share, incorporates these near-term dynamics and the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,324結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including MetService and international guidance project a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 2, driven by brisk northwesterly winds that typically advect milder air across the region during early spring. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover near 14–15°C amid variable cloud cover and low precipitation chances. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some local guidance edging toward 16°C under clearer conditions, while cooler outcomes remain possible if winds shift or cloud thickens. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 16°C market share, incorporates these near-term dynamics and the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions