**Recent official and model forecasts for Chongqing on September 3, 2026, center on highs of 33–35°C under persistent clear to mostly sunny conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market’s strong emphasis on 35°C (48.5% implied probability) and 34°C (29.0%), as multiple sources—including local meteorological updates and global models—project center-city maxima near 34–35°C without strong cooling or intensification signals. Chongqing’s humid subtropical climate typically sustains elevated late-summer temperatures into early September when high pressure and subsidence dominate, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime heating. Current guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant moisture influx through the 48-hour window, supporting stable or marginally warmer readings relative to September 1–2 observations (around 33–35°C). Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau outlooks explicitly note continued multi-cloud-to-sunny patterns with daytime peaks reaching 35–36°C in urban districts, while ensemble and deterministic runs cluster tightly around 33–34°C. Key resolution thresholds (exact daily maximum reported by authoritative stations) therefore favor the 34–35°C band, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C+ outcomes absent unexpected warming or 33°C and below if localized cooling develops. Traders appear to weigh these short-range consensus forecasts heavily, given the proximity to resolution and limited forecast spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日重慶氣溫最高？
9月3日重慶氣溫最高？
35°C 49%
34°C 30%
36°C 11%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
30°C or below
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
30%
35°C
49%
36°C
11%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
2%
35°C 49%
34°C 30%
36°C 11%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
30°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
31°C
$75 交易量
2%
32°C
$21 交易量
5%
33°C
$38 交易量
8%
34°C
$411 交易量
30%
35°C
$259 交易量
49%
36°C
$9 交易量
11%
37°C
$20 交易量
6%
38°C
$83 交易量
2%
39°C
$5 交易量
2%
40°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts for Chongqing on September 3, 2026, center on highs of 33–35°C under persistent clear to mostly sunny conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market’s strong emphasis on 35°C (48.5% implied probability) and 34°C (29.0%), as multiple sources—including local meteorological updates and global models—project center-city maxima near 34–35°C without strong cooling or intensification signals.
Chongqing’s humid subtropical climate typically sustains elevated late-summer temperatures into early September when high pressure and subsidence dominate, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime heating. Current guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant moisture influx through the 48-hour window, supporting stable or marginally warmer readings relative to September 1–2 observations (around 33–35°C). Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau outlooks explicitly note continued multi-cloud-to-sunny patterns with daytime peaks reaching 35–36°C in urban districts, while ensemble and deterministic runs cluster tightly around 33–34°C.
Key resolution thresholds (exact daily maximum reported by authoritative stations) therefore favor the 34–35°C band, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C+ outcomes absent unexpected warming or 33°C and below if localized cooling develops. Traders appear to weigh these short-range consensus forecasts heavily, given the proximity to resolution and limited forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$931結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts for Chongqing on September 3, 2026, center on highs of 33–35°C under persistent clear to mostly sunny conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market’s strong emphasis on 35°C (48.5% implied probability) and 34°C (29.0%), as multiple sources—including local meteorological updates and global models—project center-city maxima near 34–35°C without strong cooling or intensification signals.
Chongqing’s humid subtropical climate typically sustains elevated late-summer temperatures into early September when high pressure and subsidence dominate, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime heating. Current guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant moisture influx through the 48-hour window, supporting stable or marginally warmer readings relative to September 1–2 observations (around 33–35°C). Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau outlooks explicitly note continued multi-cloud-to-sunny patterns with daytime peaks reaching 35–36°C in urban districts, while ensemble and deterministic runs cluster tightly around 33–34°C.
Key resolution thresholds (exact daily maximum reported by authoritative stations) therefore favor the 34–35°C band, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C+ outcomes absent unexpected warming or 33°C and below if localized cooling develops. Traders appear to weigh these short-range consensus forecasts heavily, given the proximity to resolution and limited forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$931結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Recent official and model forecasts for Chongqing on September 3, 2026, center on highs of 33–35°C under persistent clear to mostly sunny conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market’s strong emphasis on 35°C (48.5% implied probability) and 34°C (29.0%), as multiple sources—including local meteorological updates and global models—project center-city maxima near 34–35°C without strong cooling or intensification signals. Chongqing’s humid subtropical climate typically sustains elevated late-summer temperatures into early September when high pressure and subsidence dominate, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime heating. Current guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant moisture influx through the 48-hour window, supporting stable or marginally warmer readings relative to September 1–2 observations (around 33–35°C). Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau outlooks explicitly note continued multi-cloud-to-sunny patterns with daytime peaks reaching 35–36°C in urban districts, while ensemble and deterministic runs cluster tightly around 33–34°C. Key resolution thresholds (exact daily maximum reported by authoritative stations) therefore favor the 34–35°C band, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C+ outcomes absent unexpected warming or 33°C and below if localized cooling develops. Traders appear to weigh these short-range consensus forecasts heavily, given the proximity to resolution and limited forecast spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions