Forecast models from multiple agencies show Chongqing under persistent high-pressure subsidence on September 2, favoring clear skies, light easterly winds, and daytime heating that supports afternoon highs near 33–35 °C. Recent runs indicate minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting evaporative cooling while allowing surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of that range. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan Basin hover around 34 °C, with the current pattern aligning closely but sensitive to small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture. Trader consensus between 34 °C and 35 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as ensemble spreads remain tight absent any incoming frontal systems or monsoon surge. Updated model guidance later today will refine peak timing and exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日重慶氣溫最高?
34°C 41%
35°C 38%
33°C 12%
36°C 10%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
41%
35°C
38%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 41%
35°C 38%
33°C 12%
36°C 10%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
41%
35°C
38%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from multiple agencies show Chongqing under persistent high-pressure subsidence on September 2, favoring clear skies, light easterly winds, and daytime heating that supports afternoon highs near 33–35 °C. Recent runs indicate minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting evaporative cooling while allowing surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of that range. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan Basin hover around 34 °C, with the current pattern aligning closely but sensitive to small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture. Trader consensus between 34 °C and 35 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as ensemble spreads remain tight absent any incoming frontal systems or monsoon surge. Updated model guidance later today will refine peak timing and exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions