**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources place Istanbul's expected high for September 3, 2026, in the 27–29°C range under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's balanced probabilities clustered around 25–28°C (each near 50%), reflecting tight consensus on a typical early-September peak while acknowledging small day-to-day model spreads in exact maximum. Istanbul's September climate features a transition from summer warmth, with historical early-month highs averaging near 28°C before declining toward the monthly mean of ~24–25°C. Persistent high pressure and clear skies promote strong daytime solar heating, but the moderating influence of the Black Sea and prevailing northerly or northeasterly flow (often 15–25 km/h) prevents extreme excursions. Minor differences among 25°C versus 28°C outcomes hinge on subtle factors such as afternoon cloud development, exact wind strength, or localized urban heat-island effects at the official recording station. No significant weather systems or heatwave signals appear in the latest model guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes very low (under 5%). Updated forecast runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak and shift trader positioning accordingly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月3日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
26°C 41%
25°C 26%
27°C 26%
24°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C or below
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
41%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 41%
25°C 26%
27°C 26%
24°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C or below
$5 交易量
4%
22°C
$5 交易量
7%
23°C
$5 交易量
7%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
41%
27°C
$0 交易量
26%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$5 交易量
1%
30°C
$5 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources place Istanbul's expected high for September 3, 2026, in the 27–29°C range under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's balanced probabilities clustered around 25–28°C (each near 50%), reflecting tight consensus on a typical early-September peak while acknowledging small day-to-day model spreads in exact maximum.
Istanbul's September climate features a transition from summer warmth, with historical early-month highs averaging near 28°C before declining toward the monthly mean of ~24–25°C. Persistent high pressure and clear skies promote strong daytime solar heating, but the moderating influence of the Black Sea and prevailing northerly or northeasterly flow (often 15–25 km/h) prevents extreme excursions. Minor differences among 25°C versus 28°C outcomes hinge on subtle factors such as afternoon cloud development, exact wind strength, or localized urban heat-island effects at the official recording station.
No significant weather systems or heatwave signals appear in the latest model guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes very low (under 5%). Updated forecast runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak and shift trader positioning accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$30結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources place Istanbul's expected high for September 3, 2026, in the 27–29°C range under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's balanced probabilities clustered around 25–28°C (each near 50%), reflecting tight consensus on a typical early-September peak while acknowledging small day-to-day model spreads in exact maximum.
Istanbul's September climate features a transition from summer warmth, with historical early-month highs averaging near 28°C before declining toward the monthly mean of ~24–25°C. Persistent high pressure and clear skies promote strong daytime solar heating, but the moderating influence of the Black Sea and prevailing northerly or northeasterly flow (often 15–25 km/h) prevents extreme excursions. Minor differences among 25°C versus 28°C outcomes hinge on subtle factors such as afternoon cloud development, exact wind strength, or localized urban heat-island effects at the official recording station.
No significant weather systems or heatwave signals appear in the latest model guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes very low (under 5%). Updated forecast runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak and shift trader positioning accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources place Istanbul's expected high for September 3, 2026, in the 27–29°C range under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's balanced probabilities clustered around 25–28°C (each near 50%), reflecting tight consensus on a typical early-September peak while acknowledging small day-to-day model spreads in exact maximum. Istanbul's September climate features a transition from summer warmth, with historical early-month highs averaging near 28°C before declining toward the monthly mean of ~24–25°C. Persistent high pressure and clear skies promote strong daytime solar heating, but the moderating influence of the Black Sea and prevailing northerly or northeasterly flow (often 15–25 km/h) prevents extreme excursions. Minor differences among 25°C versus 28°C outcomes hinge on subtle factors such as afternoon cloud development, exact wind strength, or localized urban heat-island effects at the official recording station. No significant weather systems or heatwave signals appear in the latest model guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes very low (under 5%). Updated forecast runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak and shift trader positioning accordingly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions