**Official observations from San Francisco International Airport on September 3, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 60°F around 5:21 a.m. PDT, aligning closely with the market's leading 60-61°F outcome at 66.5% implied probability.** This reading, above the 1991-2020 normal low of 56°F, reflected a persistent marine layer and the influence of an early-September storm system that delivered light rain, elevated humidity (peaking near 86%), and onshore flow, moderating overnight cooling. METAR data showed temperatures holding in the 60-62°F range through the early morning before rising under mostly cloudy skies. The storm's cloud cover and moisture suppressed radiational cooling that might otherwise have produced lower readings near or below 55°F. With the event concluded, trader sentiment has consolidated around the observed value while lower bins (e.g., 49°F or below) retain secondary interest pending any final quality-controlled adjustments from NWS or downtown stations. Upcoming climatological summaries will confirm resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月3日的最低溫度？
舊金山9月3日的最低溫度？
60-61°F 97%
49°F or below 20%
50-51°F 20%
58-59°F 20%
$1,318 交易量
$1,318 交易量
2026-09-03
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
60-61°F 97%
49°F or below 20%
50-51°F 20%
58-59°F 20%
$1,318 交易量
$1,318 交易量
2026-09-03
49°F or below
$62 交易量
No
50-51°F
$62 交易量
No
52-53°F
$62 交易量
No
54-55°F
$136 交易量
No
56-57°F
$120 交易量
No
58-59°F
$107 交易量
No
60-61°F
$143 交易量
Yes
62-63°F
$234 交易量
No
64-65°F
$159 交易量
No
66-67°F
$87 交易量
No
68°F or higher
$147 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from San Francisco International Airport on September 3, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 60°F around 5:21 a.m. PDT, aligning closely with the market's leading 60-61°F outcome at 66.5% implied probability.**
This reading, above the 1991-2020 normal low of 56°F, reflected a persistent marine layer and the influence of an early-September storm system that delivered light rain, elevated humidity (peaking near 86%), and onshore flow, moderating overnight cooling. METAR data showed temperatures holding in the 60-62°F range through the early morning before rising under mostly cloudy skies. The storm's cloud cover and moisture suppressed radiational cooling that might otherwise have produced lower readings near or below 55°F. With the event concluded, trader sentiment has consolidated around the observed value while lower bins (e.g., 49°F or below) retain secondary interest pending any final quality-controlled adjustments from NWS or downtown stations. Upcoming climatological summaries will confirm resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,318結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from San Francisco International Airport on September 3, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 60°F around 5:21 a.m. PDT, aligning closely with the market's leading 60-61°F outcome at 66.5% implied probability.**
This reading, above the 1991-2020 normal low of 56°F, reflected a persistent marine layer and the influence of an early-September storm system that delivered light rain, elevated humidity (peaking near 86%), and onshore flow, moderating overnight cooling. METAR data showed temperatures holding in the 60-62°F range through the early morning before rising under mostly cloudy skies. The storm's cloud cover and moisture suppressed radiational cooling that might otherwise have produced lower readings near or below 55°F. With the event concluded, trader sentiment has consolidated around the observed value while lower bins (e.g., 49°F or below) retain secondary interest pending any final quality-controlled adjustments from NWS or downtown stations. Upcoming climatological summaries will confirm resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,318結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Official observations from San Francisco International Airport on September 3, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 60°F around 5:21 a.m. PDT, aligning closely with the market's leading 60-61°F outcome at 66.5% implied probability.** This reading, above the 1991-2020 normal low of 56°F, reflected a persistent marine layer and the influence of an early-September storm system that delivered light rain, elevated humidity (peaking near 86%), and onshore flow, moderating overnight cooling. METAR data showed temperatures holding in the 60-62°F range through the early morning before rising under mostly cloudy skies. The storm's cloud cover and moisture suppressed radiational cooling that might otherwise have produced lower readings near or below 55°F. With the event concluded, trader sentiment has consolidated around the observed value while lower bins (e.g., 49°F or below) retain secondary interest pending any final quality-controlled adjustments from NWS or downtown stations. Upcoming climatological summaries will confirm resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions