The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 72–73°F overnight low in Atlanta on August 26 stems from official observations at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport aligning with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 70.1°F and recent years have clustered in the low 70s. Persistent southerly flow and high dew points maintained mild conditions without significant radiational cooling or cold-air advection, keeping temperatures well above historical extremes like the 58°F record from 1942. Model consensus from NOAA and NHC guidance prior to the date reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning near-certainty once preliminary data confirmed no departures. A realistic challenge would require verified station revisions or localized urban heat-island effects pushing the reading into adjacent bins, though such adjustments are rare after initial NWS quality control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日亞特蘭大最低溫？
8月26日亞特蘭大最低溫？
72-73°F 100.0%
70-71°F 1.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
$1,187 交易量
$1,187 交易量
2026-08-26
63°F或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
是
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或以上
否
72-73°F 100.0%
70-71°F 1.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
$1,187 交易量
$1,187 交易量
2026-08-26
63°F或以下
$25 交易量
否
64-65°F
$25 交易量
否
66-67°F
$185 交易量
否
68-69°F
$25 交易量
否
70-71°F
$60 交易量
否
72-73°F
$276 交易量
是
74-75°F
$375 交易量
否
76-77°F
$63 交易量
否
78-79°F
$58 交易量
否
80-81°F
$45 交易量
否
82°F或以上
$50 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 72–73°F overnight low in Atlanta on August 26 stems from official observations at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport aligning with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 70.1°F and recent years have clustered in the low 70s. Persistent southerly flow and high dew points maintained mild conditions without significant radiational cooling or cold-air advection, keeping temperatures well above historical extremes like the 58°F record from 1942. Model consensus from NOAA and NHC guidance prior to the date reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning near-certainty once preliminary data confirmed no departures. A realistic challenge would require verified station revisions or localized urban heat-island effects pushing the reading into adjacent bins, though such adjustments are rare after initial NWS quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,187結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 72–73°F overnight low in Atlanta on August 26 stems from official observations at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport aligning with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 70.1°F and recent years have clustered in the low 70s. Persistent southerly flow and high dew points maintained mild conditions without significant radiational cooling or cold-air advection, keeping temperatures well above historical extremes like the 58°F record from 1942. Model consensus from NOAA and NHC guidance prior to the date reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning near-certainty once preliminary data confirmed no departures. A realistic challenge would require verified station revisions or localized urban heat-island effects pushing the reading into adjacent bins, though such adjustments are rare after initial NWS quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,187結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 72–73°F overnight low in Atlanta on August 26 stems from official observations at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport aligning with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 70.1°F and recent years have clustered in the low 70s. Persistent southerly flow and high dew points maintained mild conditions without significant radiational cooling or cold-air advection, keeping temperatures well above historical extremes like the 58°F record from 1942. Model consensus from NOAA and NHC guidance prior to the date reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning near-certainty once preliminary data confirmed no departures. A realistic challenge would require verified station revisions or localized urban heat-island effects pushing the reading into adjacent bins, though such adjustments are rare after initial NWS quality control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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