Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 70°F at Chicago O’Hare on August 26, 2026, matching the 70–71°F outcome now trading at 100% implied probability. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 64°F by six degrees, consistent with a warm overnight period under light winds and clear to partly cloudy skies that limited radiational cooling. Nearby Midway Airport reported a similar 69°F low, reinforcing the same temperature bracket. With the calendar day concluded, traders have converged on the verified reading rather than forecast uncertainty. Only unexpected revisions to the final climate summary or a change in the market’s reference station would realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月26日的最低溫度?
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$1,324 交易量
$1,324 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$1,324 交易量
$1,324 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 70°F at Chicago O’Hare on August 26, 2026, matching the 70–71°F outcome now trading at 100% implied probability. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 64°F by six degrees, consistent with a warm overnight period under light winds and clear to partly cloudy skies that limited radiational cooling. Nearby Midway Airport reported a similar 69°F low, reinforcing the same temperature bracket. With the calendar day concluded, traders have converged on the verified reading rather than forecast uncertainty. Only unexpected revisions to the final climate summary or a change in the market’s reference station would realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions