**Forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and private models points to a minimum temperature in the low 70s at Chicago O’Hare on August 30, 2026, with the 72–73 °F and 70–71 °F bins commanding the highest market-implied probabilities.** A southerly to southwesterly flow is advecting warm, moist air ahead of a weak disturbance, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 20–30 % chance of showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This keeps overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~64 °F. Model consensus shows little spread in the 70–74 °F range, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weigh these variables evenly between the two leading outcomes while discounting colder or much warmer scenarios given the persistent warm anomaly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月30日的最低溫度？
芝加哥8月30日的最低溫度？
72-73°F 54%
82°F或以上 53%
70-71華氏度 32%
66-67°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
63°F或以下
6%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
25%
70-71華氏度
32%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
7%
82°F或以上
53%
72-73°F 54%
82°F或以上 53%
70-71華氏度 32%
66-67°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
63°F或以下
$26 交易量
6%
64-65°F
$6 交易量
6%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
26%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
25%
70-71華氏度
$0 交易量
32%
72-73°F
$18 交易量
36%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
25%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
20%
78-79°F
$10 交易量
8%
80-81°F
$10 交易量
7%
82°F或以上
$10 交易量
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and private models points to a minimum temperature in the low 70s at Chicago O’Hare on August 30, 2026, with the 72–73 °F and 70–71 °F bins commanding the highest market-implied probabilities.**
A southerly to southwesterly flow is advecting warm, moist air ahead of a weak disturbance, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 20–30 % chance of showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This keeps overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~64 °F. Model consensus shows little spread in the 70–74 °F range, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weigh these variables evenly between the two leading outcomes while discounting colder or much warmer scenarios given the persistent warm anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$79結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and private models points to a minimum temperature in the low 70s at Chicago O’Hare on August 30, 2026, with the 72–73 °F and 70–71 °F bins commanding the highest market-implied probabilities.**
A southerly to southwesterly flow is advecting warm, moist air ahead of a weak disturbance, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 20–30 % chance of showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This keeps overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~64 °F. Model consensus shows little spread in the 70–74 °F range, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weigh these variables evenly between the two leading outcomes while discounting colder or much warmer scenarios given the persistent warm anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$79結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET**Forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and private models points to a minimum temperature in the low 70s at Chicago O’Hare on August 30, 2026, with the 72–73 °F and 70–71 °F bins commanding the highest market-implied probabilities.** A southerly to southwesterly flow is advecting warm, moist air ahead of a weak disturbance, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 20–30 % chance of showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This keeps overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~64 °F. Model consensus shows little spread in the 70–74 °F range, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weigh these variables evenly between the two leading outcomes while discounting colder or much warmer scenarios given the persistent warm anomaly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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