**Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for a mild overnight minimum around 64–67°F, driven by persistent cloud cover and southerly flow limiting radiative cooling.** Mostly cloudy skies trap longwave radiation, while 5–15 mph southwest winds promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show lows near 66–70°F, with historical August 29 averages of 64.6°F providing context but recent warm advection pushing values higher. Key differentiating variables include exact cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and timing of any clearing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F across Chicago-area stations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from primary reporting sites, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月29日的最低溫度？
芝加哥8月29日的最低溫度？
74°F or higher 46%
64-65°F 30%
60-61°F 27%
62-63°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
55°F or below
9%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
3%
74°F or higher
46%
74°F or higher 46%
64-65°F 30%
60-61°F 27%
62-63°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
55°F or below
$147 交易量
9%
56-57°F
$5 交易量
22%
58-59°F
$24 交易量
5%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
27%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
27%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
30%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
26%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
27%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
26%
72-73°F
$5 交易量
3%
74°F or higher
$27 交易量
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for a mild overnight minimum around 64–67°F, driven by persistent cloud cover and southerly flow limiting radiative cooling.** Mostly cloudy skies trap longwave radiation, while 5–15 mph southwest winds promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show lows near 66–70°F, with historical August 29 averages of 64.6°F providing context but recent warm advection pushing values higher. Key differentiating variables include exact cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and timing of any clearing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F across Chicago-area stations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from primary reporting sites, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$208結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for a mild overnight minimum around 64–67°F, driven by persistent cloud cover and southerly flow limiting radiative cooling.** Mostly cloudy skies trap longwave radiation, while 5–15 mph southwest winds promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show lows near 66–70°F, with historical August 29 averages of 64.6°F providing context but recent warm advection pushing values higher. Key differentiating variables include exact cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and timing of any clearing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F across Chicago-area stations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from primary reporting sites, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$208結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET**Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for a mild overnight minimum around 64–67°F, driven by persistent cloud cover and southerly flow limiting radiative cooling.** Mostly cloudy skies trap longwave radiation, while 5–15 mph southwest winds promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show lows near 66–70°F, with historical August 29 averages of 64.6°F providing context but recent warm advection pushing values higher. Key differentiating variables include exact cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and timing of any clearing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F across Chicago-area stations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from primary reporting sites, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions