Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 25, driven by continued southeast monsoon flow, high humidity near 70–80%, and partly cloudy conditions that limit full solar heating. Scattered light showers or drizzle expected midday may further cap extremes, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–33°C amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns. Ensemble spreads show limited probability of reaching 33°C or higher without stronger clearing, while overnight lows near 25–27°C support the narrow range. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine convective timing and any steering changes that could shift realized maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日上海最高溫度？
8月25日上海最高溫度？
31°C 45%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
45%
32°C
32%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 45%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$30 交易量
4%
30°C
$212 交易量
14%
31°C
$605 交易量
45%
32°C
$657 交易量
32%
33°C
$16 交易量
7%
34°C
$0 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 25, driven by continued southeast monsoon flow, high humidity near 70–80%, and partly cloudy conditions that limit full solar heating. Scattered light showers or drizzle expected midday may further cap extremes, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–33°C amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns. Ensemble spreads show limited probability of reaching 33°C or higher without stronger clearing, while overnight lows near 25–27°C support the narrow range. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine convective timing and any steering changes that could shift realized maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,521結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 25, driven by continued southeast monsoon flow, high humidity near 70–80%, and partly cloudy conditions that limit full solar heating. Scattered light showers or drizzle expected midday may further cap extremes, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–33°C amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns. Ensemble spreads show limited probability of reaching 33°C or higher without stronger clearing, while overnight lows near 25–27°C support the narrow range. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine convective timing and any steering changes that could shift realized maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,521結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 25, driven by continued southeast monsoon flow, high humidity near 70–80%, and partly cloudy conditions that limit full solar heating. Scattered light showers or drizzle expected midday may further cap extremes, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–33°C amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns. Ensemble spreads show limited probability of reaching 33°C or higher without stronger clearing, while overnight lows near 25–27°C support the narrow range. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine convective timing and any steering changes that could shift realized maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions