Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to a high-pressure ridge over central Europe bringing mostly clear skies and light easterly flow to Warsaw on August 27, favoring afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Stable anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover support modest diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer air, keeping values below late-August climatological peaks. Current forecasts cluster around 24 °C as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability there, while small spreads to 23 °C or 25 °C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds. New model runs and official IMGW updates over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日華沙的最高溫度？
8月27日華沙的最高溫度？
24°C 42%
25°C 26%
23°C 16%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
16%
24°C
42%
25°C
26%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
25°C 26%
23°C 16%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
19°C or below
$119 交易量
<1%
20°C
$65 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C
$0 交易量
9%
23°C
$45 交易量
16%
24°C
$0 交易量
42%
25°C
$85 交易量
26%
26°C
$11 交易量
8%
27°C
$0 交易量
5%
28°C
$280 交易量
1%
29°C or higher
$219 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to a high-pressure ridge over central Europe bringing mostly clear skies and light easterly flow to Warsaw on August 27, favoring afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Stable anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover support modest diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer air, keeping values below late-August climatological peaks. Current forecasts cluster around 24 °C as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability there, while small spreads to 23 °C or 25 °C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds. New model runs and official IMGW updates over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$818結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to a high-pressure ridge over central Europe bringing mostly clear skies and light easterly flow to Warsaw on August 27, favoring afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Stable anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover support modest diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer air, keeping values below late-August climatological peaks. Current forecasts cluster around 24 °C as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability there, while small spreads to 23 °C or 25 °C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds. New model runs and official IMGW updates over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$818結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to a high-pressure ridge over central Europe bringing mostly clear skies and light easterly flow to Warsaw on August 27, favoring afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Stable anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover support modest diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer air, keeping values below late-August climatological peaks. Current forecasts cluster around 24 °C as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability there, while small spreads to 23 °C or 25 °C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds. New model runs and official IMGW updates over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions