Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 25 most likely between 10–12°C, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average lows decline toward 12°C amid decreasing daylight and typical Baltic air masses, though slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight clustering around 10°C (29.5% implied probability) versus 11–12°C. Traders weigh official guidance updates expected overnight for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日華沙的最低溫度？
8月25日華沙的最低溫度？
10°C 30%
11°C 27%
12°C 21%
9°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
6°C or below
9%
7°C
7%
8°C
9%
9°C
12%
10°C
30%
11°C
27%
12°C
21%
13°C
7%
14°C
13%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
10°C 30%
11°C 27%
12°C 21%
9°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
6°C or below
$141 交易量
9%
7°C
$268 交易量
7%
8°C
$0 交易量
9%
9°C
$15 交易量
12%
10°C
$0 交易量
30%
11°C
$0 交易量
27%
12°C
$0 交易量
21%
13°C
$30 交易量
7%
14°C
$80 交易量
13%
15°C
$105 交易量
1%
16°C or higher
$135 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 25 most likely between 10–12°C, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average lows decline toward 12°C amid decreasing daylight and typical Baltic air masses, though slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight clustering around 10°C (29.5% implied probability) versus 11–12°C. Traders weigh official guidance updates expected overnight for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$774結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 25 most likely between 10–12°C, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average lows decline toward 12°C amid decreasing daylight and typical Baltic air masses, though slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight clustering around 10°C (29.5% implied probability) versus 11–12°C. Traders weigh official guidance updates expected overnight for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$774結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 25 most likely between 10–12°C, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average lows decline toward 12°C amid decreasing daylight and typical Baltic air masses, though slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight clustering around 10°C (29.5% implied probability) versus 11–12°C. Traders weigh official guidance updates expected overnight for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions