Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 26, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and supporting a minimum near 10 °C. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99 percent for that threshold, reflecting trader consensus on observed trends and ensemble guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 13–16 °C, but recent dry, calm patterns have allowed slightly greater cooling than seasonal averages. A realistic shift away from 10 °C would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal passage that reduce heat loss, though no such developments appear imminent in the latest model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日華沙的最低溫度？
8月26日華沙的最低溫度？
10°C 100.0%
9°C 13%
8°C 6%
7°C or below 5%
$3,246 交易量
$3,246 交易量
2026-08-26
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
9°C 13%
8°C 6%
7°C or below 5%
$3,246 交易量
$3,246 交易量
2026-08-26
7°C or below
$10 交易量
No
8°C
$110 交易量
No
9°C
$10 交易量
No
10°C
$201 交易量
Yes
11°C
$115 交易量
No
12°C
$158 交易量
No
13°C
$211 交易量
No
14°C
$75 交易量
No
15°C
$1,828 交易量
No
16°C
$105 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$422 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 26, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and supporting a minimum near 10 °C. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99 percent for that threshold, reflecting trader consensus on observed trends and ensemble guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 13–16 °C, but recent dry, calm patterns have allowed slightly greater cooling than seasonal averages. A realistic shift away from 10 °C would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal passage that reduce heat loss, though no such developments appear imminent in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,246結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 26, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and supporting a minimum near 10 °C. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99 percent for that threshold, reflecting trader consensus on observed trends and ensemble guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 13–16 °C, but recent dry, calm patterns have allowed slightly greater cooling than seasonal averages. A realistic shift away from 10 °C would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal passage that reduce heat loss, though no such developments appear imminent in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,246結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 26, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and supporting a minimum near 10 °C. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99 percent for that threshold, reflecting trader consensus on observed trends and ensemble guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 13–16 °C, but recent dry, calm patterns have allowed slightly greater cooling than seasonal averages. A realistic shift away from 10 °C would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal passage that reduce heat loss, though no such developments appear imminent in the latest model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions