Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity has produced cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila, moderating daytime heating and anchoring forecast highs near 30–31°C for August 27 per PAGASA guidance. These conditions suppress maximum temperatures by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, with model consensus showing limited diurnal warming under persistent cloud cover. Recent outlooks indicate only modest variability tied to the precise timing and intensity of showers, keeping 31°C as the slight market leader while 30°C remains competitive. Historical August baselines around 30°C provide context, though ongoing monsoon patterns reduce the likelihood of extremes above 32°C or below 29°C on this short forecast horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
30°C 37%
31°C 33%
32°C 20%
33°C 19%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
15%
30°C
37%
31°C
33%
32°C
20%
33°C
19%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 33%
32°C 20%
33°C 19%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
15%
30°C
37%
31°C
33%
32°C
20%
33°C
19%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity has produced cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila, moderating daytime heating and anchoring forecast highs near 30–31°C for August 27 per PAGASA guidance. These conditions suppress maximum temperatures by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, with model consensus showing limited diurnal warming under persistent cloud cover. Recent outlooks indicate only modest variability tied to the precise timing and intensity of showers, keeping 31°C as the slight market leader while 30°C remains competitive. Historical August baselines around 30°C provide context, though ongoing monsoon patterns reduce the likelihood of extremes above 32°C or below 29°C on this short forecast horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions