Recent forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a moderating trend for Busan on August 27, 2026, with daytime highs likely ranging 28–32°C amid increasing cloud cover, 40–75% storm chances, and southwesterly flow. Persistent late-summer influence from the North Pacific high has sustained elevated temperatures and humidity in southern Korea, yet an approaching disturbance is expected to enhance convection and reduce solar heating, differentiating the tightly contested 32–34°C outcomes. Model spreads in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the close market-implied probabilities around these thresholds, with lower odds for 35°C+ reflecting limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日釜山的最高溫度?
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 21%
31°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
21%
33°C
32%
34°C
28%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 21%
31°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
21%
33°C
32%
34°C
28%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a moderating trend for Busan on August 27, 2026, with daytime highs likely ranging 28–32°C amid increasing cloud cover, 40–75% storm chances, and southwesterly flow. Persistent late-summer influence from the North Pacific high has sustained elevated temperatures and humidity in southern Korea, yet an approaching disturbance is expected to enhance convection and reduce solar heating, differentiating the tightly contested 32–34°C outcomes. Model spreads in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the close market-implied probabilities around these thresholds, with lower odds for 35°C+ reflecting limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions