Recent forecasts from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a highest temperature on August 27 most likely between 32–34°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorm activity that limit daytime heating. High humidity and weak steering winds promote localized convective clouds, which can suppress peak readings compared to clearer conditions. Trader sentiment clustering around 34–37°C reflects model spread in precipitation timing and intensity, plus Chengdu’s urban heat island influence, while probabilities below 33°C account for stronger rain-cooled scenarios. Updated CMA guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日成都最高溫度？
8月27日成都最高溫度？
36°C 31%
35°C 24%
34°C 19%
37°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
30°C or below
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
10%
34°C
19%
35°C
24%
36°C
31%
37°C
16%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 31%
35°C 24%
34°C 19%
37°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
30°C or below
$0 交易量
4%
31°C
$0 交易量
4%
32°C
$10 交易量
2%
33°C
$0 交易量
10%
34°C
$27 交易量
19%
35°C
$18 交易量
24%
36°C
$29 交易量
31%
37°C
$10 交易量
16%
38°C
$0 交易量
<1%
39°C
$6 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$28 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a highest temperature on August 27 most likely between 32–34°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorm activity that limit daytime heating. High humidity and weak steering winds promote localized convective clouds, which can suppress peak readings compared to clearer conditions. Trader sentiment clustering around 34–37°C reflects model spread in precipitation timing and intensity, plus Chengdu’s urban heat island influence, while probabilities below 33°C account for stronger rain-cooled scenarios. Updated CMA guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$128結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a highest temperature on August 27 most likely between 32–34°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorm activity that limit daytime heating. High humidity and weak steering winds promote localized convective clouds, which can suppress peak readings compared to clearer conditions. Trader sentiment clustering around 34–37°C reflects model spread in precipitation timing and intensity, plus Chengdu’s urban heat island influence, while probabilities below 33°C account for stronger rain-cooled scenarios. Updated CMA guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$128結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a highest temperature on August 27 most likely between 32–34°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorm activity that limit daytime heating. High humidity and weak steering winds promote localized convective clouds, which can suppress peak readings compared to clearer conditions. Trader sentiment clustering around 34–37°C reflects model spread in precipitation timing and intensity, plus Chengdu’s urban heat island influence, while probabilities below 33°C account for stronger rain-cooled scenarios. Updated CMA guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions