**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, indicate a high temperature in Madrid on August 27 of 22–24°C, driven by a cooler air mass, increased cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating.** This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, where 24°C leads at 32% implied probability. Afternoon peaks are expected near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers, following a cool spell that brought August 25’s maximum down to 26.9°C. Model consensus points to reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and advection of milder maritime air, contrasting sharply with the long-term August 27 average high of ~30.7°C. Traders appear to weigh minor forecast spreads in timing of any clearing or precipitation, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way before official observations finalize the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月27日馬德裏氣溫最高？
24°C 32%
23°C 23%
25°C 22%
26°C 16%
最新
$14,318 交易量
最新
$14,318 交易量
2026-08-27
21°C or below
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
23%
24°C
32%
25°C
22%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 32%
23°C 23%
25°C 22%
26°C 16%
最新
$14,318 交易量
最新
$14,318 交易量
2026-08-27
21°C or below
$397 交易量
2%
22°C
$554 交易量
6%
23°C
$2,312 交易量
23%
24°C
$981 交易量
32%
25°C
$1,430 交易量
22%
26°C
$3,651 交易量
16%
27°C
$1,467 交易量
3%
28°C
$338 交易量
1%
29°C
$690 交易量
<1%
30°C
$656 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,842 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, indicate a high temperature in Madrid on August 27 of 22–24°C, driven by a cooler air mass, increased cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating.**
This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, where 24°C leads at 32% implied probability. Afternoon peaks are expected near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers, following a cool spell that brought August 25’s maximum down to 26.9°C.
Model consensus points to reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and advection of milder maritime air, contrasting sharply with the long-term August 27 average high of ~30.7°C. Traders appear to weigh minor forecast spreads in timing of any clearing or precipitation, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way before official observations finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$14,318結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, indicate a high temperature in Madrid on August 27 of 22–24°C, driven by a cooler air mass, increased cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating.**
This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, where 24°C leads at 32% implied probability. Afternoon peaks are expected near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers, following a cool spell that brought August 25’s maximum down to 26.9°C.
Model consensus points to reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and advection of milder maritime air, contrasting sharply with the long-term August 27 average high of ~30.7°C. Traders appear to weigh minor forecast spreads in timing of any clearing or precipitation, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way before official observations finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,318結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, indicate a high temperature in Madrid on August 27 of 22–24°C, driven by a cooler air mass, increased cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating.** This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, where 24°C leads at 32% implied probability. Afternoon peaks are expected near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers, following a cool spell that brought August 25’s maximum down to 26.9°C. Model consensus points to reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and advection of milder maritime air, contrasting sharply with the long-term August 27 average high of ~30.7°C. Traders appear to weigh minor forecast spreads in timing of any clearing or precipitation, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way before official observations finalize the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions